Ensemble forecast models from ECMWF and GFS currently indicate an overnight low near 10°C for Paris on May 19, reflecting a gradual warming trend after the recent cool air outbreak that produced sub-8°C readings earlier in the month. Climatological averages place typical mid-May minima around 10–11°C, with radiative cooling under clear skies and light winds as the dominant factors differentiating the 9–12°C buckets. Traders appear to weigh model spread in dew-point forecasts and potential for brief high pressure against seasonal norms, keeping the 10°C outcome narrowly ahead while leaving room for revisions as new guidance arrives in the next 48–72 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on May 19?
Lowest temperature in Paris on May 19?
10°C 25%
11°C 23%
8°C 20%
9°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 19, 2026
5°C or below
1%
6°C
4%
7°C
6%
8°C
20%
9°C
16%
10°C
25%
11°C
23%
12°C
10%
13°C
5%
14°C
4%
15°C or higher
1%
10°C 25%
11°C 23%
8°C 20%
9°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 19, 2026
5°C or below
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
6°C
$42 ปริมาณ
4%
7°C
$20 ปริมาณ
6%
8°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
9°C
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
10°C
$6 ปริมาณ
25%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
13°C
$9 ปริมาณ
5%
14°C
$10 ปริมาณ
4%
15°C or higher
$81 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecast models from ECMWF and GFS currently indicate an overnight low near 10°C for Paris on May 19, reflecting a gradual warming trend after the recent cool air outbreak that produced sub-8°C readings earlier in the month. Climatological averages place typical mid-May minima around 10–11°C, with radiative cooling under clear skies and light winds as the dominant factors differentiating the 9–12°C buckets. Traders appear to weigh model spread in dew-point forecasts and potential for brief high pressure against seasonal norms, keeping the 10°C outcome narrowly ahead while leaving room for revisions as new guidance arrives in the next 48–72 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$179วันสิ้นสุด
May 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecast models from ECMWF and GFS currently indicate an overnight low near 10°C for Paris on May 19, reflecting a gradual warming trend after the recent cool air outbreak that produced sub-8°C readings earlier in the month. Climatological averages place typical mid-May minima around 10–11°C, with radiative cooling under clear skies and light winds as the dominant factors differentiating the 9–12°C buckets. Traders appear to weigh model spread in dew-point forecasts and potential for brief high pressure against seasonal norms, keeping the 10°C outcome narrowly ahead while leaving room for revisions as new guidance arrives in the next 48–72 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$179วันสิ้นสุด
May 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBEnsemble forecast models from ECMWF and GFS currently indicate an overnight low near 10°C for Paris on May 19, reflecting a gradual warming trend after the recent cool air outbreak that produced sub-8°C readings earlier in the month. Climatological averages place typical mid-May minima around 10–11°C, with radiative cooling under clear skies and light winds as the dominant factors differentiating the 9–12°C buckets. Traders appear to weigh model spread in dew-point forecasts and potential for brief high pressure against seasonal norms, keeping the 10°C outcome narrowly ahead while leaving room for revisions as new guidance arrives in the next 48–72 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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