Official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting ensemble models have converged on a 6°C overnight minimum in Paris today, anchored by clear skies, light northerly winds, and a stable high-pressure system that allows modest radiative cooling without deeper chill. This setup keeps temperatures above the typical May baseline of roughly 9°C while suppressing the warmer mixing that would push readings higher. Traders have priced 6°C at 99.7% implied probability, reflecting strong agreement across current model runs. A shift to increased cloud cover or stronger southerly flow before dawn could nudge the low a degree warmer or cooler, though fresh hourly observations through the night will determine final resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on May 16?
Lowest temperature in Paris on May 16?
6°C 99.7%
0°C or below <1%
3°C <1%
1°C <1%
$14,850 ปริมาณ
$14,850 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
0°C or below
1%
1°C
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
100%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C or higher
<1%
6°C 99.7%
0°C or below <1%
3°C <1%
1°C <1%
$14,850 ปริมาณ
$14,850 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
0°C or below
$255 ปริมาณ
1%
1°C
$456 ปริมาณ
<1%
2°C
$581 ปริมาณ
<1%
3°C
$621 ปริมาณ
<1%
4°C
$727 ปริมาณ
<1%
5°C
$1,051 ปริมาณ
<1%
6°C
$1,033 ปริมาณ
100%
7°C
$3,305 ปริมาณ
<1%
8°C
$2,833 ปริมาณ
<1%
9°C
$943 ปริมาณ
<1%
10°C or higher
$3,045 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting ensemble models have converged on a 6°C overnight minimum in Paris today, anchored by clear skies, light northerly winds, and a stable high-pressure system that allows modest radiative cooling without deeper chill. This setup keeps temperatures above the typical May baseline of roughly 9°C while suppressing the warmer mixing that would push readings higher. Traders have priced 6°C at 99.7% implied probability, reflecting strong agreement across current model runs. A shift to increased cloud cover or stronger southerly flow before dawn could nudge the low a degree warmer or cooler, though fresh hourly observations through the night will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,850วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting ensemble models have converged on a 6°C overnight minimum in Paris today, anchored by clear skies, light northerly winds, and a stable high-pressure system that allows modest radiative cooling without deeper chill. This setup keeps temperatures above the typical May baseline of roughly 9°C while suppressing the warmer mixing that would push readings higher. Traders have priced 6°C at 99.7% implied probability, reflecting strong agreement across current model runs. A shift to increased cloud cover or stronger southerly flow before dawn could nudge the low a degree warmer or cooler, though fresh hourly observations through the night will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,850วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBOfficial forecasts from Météo-France and supporting ensemble models have converged on a 6°C overnight minimum in Paris today, anchored by clear skies, light northerly winds, and a stable high-pressure system that allows modest radiative cooling without deeper chill. This setup keeps temperatures above the typical May baseline of roughly 9°C while suppressing the warmer mixing that would push readings higher. Traders have priced 6°C at 99.7% implied probability, reflecting strong agreement across current model runs. A shift to increased cloud cover or stronger southerly flow before dawn could nudge the low a degree warmer or cooler, though fresh hourly observations through the night will determine final resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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