Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 38% implied probability for an 18°C high in Helsinki on May 16, with 17°C (27.5%) and 19°C (21.5%) close behind, reflecting the latest Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts centering on 17–19°C amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Scandinavia. This setup advects mild continental air from the south, with light winds (5–10 m/s) and partly cloudy skies limiting cooling, while Baltic Sea surface temperatures around 8–10°C provide modest moderation. Recent observational data from May 14–15 shows daytime highs of 12–14°C under similar ridging, with model runs yesterday converging on slight warming due to increased solar insolation and minimal cloud interference. Uncertainty persists in the ±2°C ensemble spread from potential afternoon showers or sea breeze effects; FMI updates expected later today could refine odds further. Historical mid-May averages hover near 15–16°C, making this a warmer-than-normal outlook consistent with ongoing spring warming trends.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Helsinki on May 16?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 16?
18°C 37%
17°C 28%
19°C 22%
16°C 4.7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 16, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
28%
18°C
37%
19°C
22%
20°C
5%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 37%
17°C 28%
19°C 22%
16°C 4.7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 16, 2026
14°C or below
$1,060 ปริมาณ
1%
15°C
$773 ปริมาณ
1%
16°C
$578 ปริมาณ
5%
17°C
$1,127 ปริมาณ
28%
18°C
$998 ปริมาณ
37%
19°C
$628 ปริมาณ
22%
20°C
$977 ปริมาณ
5%
21°C
$1,110 ปริมาณ
3%
22°C
$202 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$458 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C or higher
$573 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 38% implied probability for an 18°C high in Helsinki on May 16, with 17°C (27.5%) and 19°C (21.5%) close behind, reflecting the latest Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts centering on 17–19°C amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Scandinavia. This setup advects mild continental air from the south, with light winds (5–10 m/s) and partly cloudy skies limiting cooling, while Baltic Sea surface temperatures around 8–10°C provide modest moderation. Recent observational data from May 14–15 shows daytime highs of 12–14°C under similar ridging, with model runs yesterday converging on slight warming due to increased solar insolation and minimal cloud interference. Uncertainty persists in the ±2°C ensemble spread from potential afternoon showers or sea breeze effects; FMI updates expected later today could refine odds further. Historical mid-May averages hover near 15–16°C, making this a warmer-than-normal outlook consistent with ongoing spring warming trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,484วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 38% implied probability for an 18°C high in Helsinki on May 16, with 17°C (27.5%) and 19°C (21.5%) close behind, reflecting the latest Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts centering on 17–19°C amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Scandinavia. This setup advects mild continental air from the south, with light winds (5–10 m/s) and partly cloudy skies limiting cooling, while Baltic Sea surface temperatures around 8–10°C provide modest moderation. Recent observational data from May 14–15 shows daytime highs of 12–14°C under similar ridging, with model runs yesterday converging on slight warming due to increased solar insolation and minimal cloud interference. Uncertainty persists in the ±2°C ensemble spread from potential afternoon showers or sea breeze effects; FMI updates expected later today could refine odds further. Historical mid-May averages hover near 15–16°C, making this a warmer-than-normal outlook consistent with ongoing spring warming trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,484วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 38% implied probability for an 18°C high in Helsinki on May 16, with 17°C (27.5%) and 19°C (21.5%) close behind, reflecting the latest Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts centering on 17–19°C amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Scandinavia. This setup advects mild continental air from the south, with light winds (5–10 m/s) and partly cloudy skies limiting cooling, while Baltic Sea surface temperatures around 8–10°C provide modest moderation. Recent observational data from May 14–15 shows daytime highs of 12–14°C under similar ridging, with model runs yesterday converging on slight warming due to increased solar insolation and minimal cloud interference. Uncertainty persists in the ±2°C ensemble spread from potential afternoon showers or sea breeze effects; FMI updates expected later today could refine odds further. Historical mid-May averages hover near 15–16°C, making this a warmer-than-normal outlook consistent with ongoing spring warming trends.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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