Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 40.5% implied probability for a 13°C high temperature at Amsterdam's Schiphol Airport on May 16, reflecting tight clustering in the latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Global Forecast System (GFS), and KNMI guidance around 12–14°C maxima. Persistent northerly winds are advecting cool, moist maritime air from the North Sea across northwest Europe, capping daytime highs below the mid-May climatological average of 16°C through scattered showers and partial cloud cover that limit solar insolation. Recent verifications—13°C highs on May 13 and 14—bolster model reliability amid low short-range uncertainty, though urban heat island effects or unexpected clearing could shift outcomes by 1°C; KNMI hourly observations will provide final resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 16?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 16?
13°C 42%
14°C 33%
12°C 19%
15°C 4.3%
ใหม่
$12,137 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,137 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
4%
12°C
19%
13°C
42%
14°C
33%
15°C
4%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 42%
14°C 33%
12°C 19%
15°C 4.3%
ใหม่
$12,137 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,137 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
8°C or below
$1,840 ปริมาณ
<1%
9°C
$1,166 ปริมาณ
<1%
10°C
$1,330 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$643 ปริมาณ
4%
12°C
$1,150 ปริมาณ
19%
13°C
$1,445 ปริมาณ
42%
14°C
$1,421 ปริมาณ
33%
15°C
$449 ปริมาณ
4%
16°C
$554 ปริมาณ
1%
17°C
$944 ปริมาณ
1%
18°C or higher
$1,195 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 40.5% implied probability for a 13°C high temperature at Amsterdam's Schiphol Airport on May 16, reflecting tight clustering in the latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Global Forecast System (GFS), and KNMI guidance around 12–14°C maxima. Persistent northerly winds are advecting cool, moist maritime air from the North Sea across northwest Europe, capping daytime highs below the mid-May climatological average of 16°C through scattered showers and partial cloud cover that limit solar insolation. Recent verifications—13°C highs on May 13 and 14—bolster model reliability amid low short-range uncertainty, though urban heat island effects or unexpected clearing could shift outcomes by 1°C; KNMI hourly observations will provide final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 14, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,137วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:47 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 40.5% implied probability for a 13°C high temperature at Amsterdam's Schiphol Airport on May 16, reflecting tight clustering in the latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Global Forecast System (GFS), and KNMI guidance around 12–14°C maxima. Persistent northerly winds are advecting cool, moist maritime air from the North Sea across northwest Europe, capping daytime highs below the mid-May climatological average of 16°C through scattered showers and partial cloud cover that limit solar insolation. Recent verifications—13°C highs on May 13 and 14—bolster model reliability amid low short-range uncertainty, though urban heat island effects or unexpected clearing could shift outcomes by 1°C; KNMI hourly observations will provide final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,137วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:47 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 40.5% implied probability for a 13°C high temperature at Amsterdam's Schiphol Airport on May 16, reflecting tight clustering in the latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Global Forecast System (GFS), and KNMI guidance around 12–14°C maxima. Persistent northerly winds are advecting cool, moist maritime air from the North Sea across northwest Europe, capping daytime highs below the mid-May climatological average of 16°C through scattered showers and partial cloud cover that limit solar insolation. Recent verifications—13°C highs on May 13 and 14—bolster model reliability amid low short-range uncertainty, though urban heat island effects or unexpected clearing could shift outcomes by 1°C; KNMI hourly observations will provide final resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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