Latest Météo-France forecasts and ECMWF ensemble model consensus project Paris's highest temperature on May 15 at around 13°C, driving trader sentiment with 43.5% implied probability on that outcome amid clustered odds for 12–14°C. A persistent northerly airflow is advecting cool maritime air from higher latitudes, while extensive cloud cover and scattered showers—prevalent this week—severely limit solar insolation and diurnal heating, keeping maxima well below the May climatological average of 19°C. Today's similar conditions on May 14, with northwest winds and afternoon highs near 13°C, reinforce this positioning. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, signaling high short-range confidence, though localized clearing could nudge toward 14°C; official station data will resolve the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on May 15?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 15?
13°C 43%
12°C 29%
14°C 20%
15°C 7%
ใหม่
$13,071 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$13,071 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
4%
12°C
29%
13°C
43%
14°C
20%
15°C
7%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 43%
12°C 29%
14°C 20%
15°C 7%
ใหม่
$13,071 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$13,071 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
9°C or below
$1,675 ปริมาณ
<1%
10°C
$437 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$1,094 ปริมาณ
4%
12°C
$1,605 ปริมาณ
29%
13°C
$1,143 ปริมาณ
43%
14°C
$1,927 ปริมาณ
20%
15°C
$1,179 ปริมาณ
7%
16°C
$1,777 ปริมาณ
1%
17°C
$638 ปริมาณ
1%
18°C
$598 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C or higher
$2,168 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France forecasts and ECMWF ensemble model consensus project Paris's highest temperature on May 15 at around 13°C, driving trader sentiment with 43.5% implied probability on that outcome amid clustered odds for 12–14°C. A persistent northerly airflow is advecting cool maritime air from higher latitudes, while extensive cloud cover and scattered showers—prevalent this week—severely limit solar insolation and diurnal heating, keeping maxima well below the May climatological average of 19°C. Today's similar conditions on May 14, with northwest winds and afternoon highs near 13°C, reinforce this positioning. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, signaling high short-range confidence, though localized clearing could nudge toward 14°C; official station data will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,071วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France forecasts and ECMWF ensemble model consensus project Paris's highest temperature on May 15 at around 13°C, driving trader sentiment with 43.5% implied probability on that outcome amid clustered odds for 12–14°C. A persistent northerly airflow is advecting cool maritime air from higher latitudes, while extensive cloud cover and scattered showers—prevalent this week—severely limit solar insolation and diurnal heating, keeping maxima well below the May climatological average of 19°C. Today's similar conditions on May 14, with northwest winds and afternoon highs near 13°C, reinforce this positioning. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, signaling high short-range confidence, though localized clearing could nudge toward 14°C; official station data will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,071วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Météo-France forecasts and ECMWF ensemble model consensus project Paris's highest temperature on May 15 at around 13°C, driving trader sentiment with 43.5% implied probability on that outcome amid clustered odds for 12–14°C. A persistent northerly airflow is advecting cool maritime air from higher latitudes, while extensive cloud cover and scattered showers—prevalent this week—severely limit solar insolation and diurnal heating, keeping maxima well below the May climatological average of 19°C. Today's similar conditions on May 14, with northwest winds and afternoon highs near 13°C, reinforce this positioning. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, signaling high short-range confidence, though localized clearing could nudge toward 14°C; official station data will resolve the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย