Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 33°C in Singapore on May 14, driven by official observations from the National Environment Agency's (NEA) Changi Airport climate station, which recorded a daytime peak of 33°C amid persistent high humidity and afternoon thundery showers typical of early May's inter-monsoon conditions. These showers, forecast by NEA for most days this fortnight, suppressed potential for higher readings beyond the climatological May average high of 32–33°C at the station. Scenarios challenging this include a late data revision from preliminary hourly logs or an anomalous microburst heat spike before midnight, though model consensus and historical patterns make such shifts improbable as the resolution window closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Singapore on May 14?
Highest temperature in Singapore on May 14?
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$88,964 ปริมาณ
$88,964 ปริมาณ
May 14, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$88,964 ปริมาณ
$88,964 ปริมาณ
May 14, 2026
25°C or below
$755 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$1,249 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$1,621 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$2,899 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$3,124 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$9,386 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$17,404 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$16,906 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$17,566 ปริมาณ
Yes
34°C
$11,115 ปริมาณ
No
35°C or higher
$6,940 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 33°C in Singapore on May 14, driven by official observations from the National Environment Agency's (NEA) Changi Airport climate station, which recorded a daytime peak of 33°C amid persistent high humidity and afternoon thundery showers typical of early May's inter-monsoon conditions. These showers, forecast by NEA for most days this fortnight, suppressed potential for higher readings beyond the climatological May average high of 32–33°C at the station. Scenarios challenging this include a late data revision from preliminary hourly logs or an anomalous microburst heat spike before midnight, though model consensus and historical patterns make such shifts improbable as the resolution window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$88,964วันสิ้นสุด
May 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 33°C in Singapore on May 14, driven by official observations from the National Environment Agency's (NEA) Changi Airport climate station, which recorded a daytime peak of 33°C amid persistent high humidity and afternoon thundery showers typical of early May's inter-monsoon conditions. These showers, forecast by NEA for most days this fortnight, suppressed potential for higher readings beyond the climatological May average high of 32–33°C at the station. Scenarios challenging this include a late data revision from preliminary hourly logs or an anomalous microburst heat spike before midnight, though model consensus and historical patterns make such shifts improbable as the resolution window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$88,964วันสิ้นสุด
May 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 33°C in Singapore on May 14, driven by official observations from the National Environment Agency's (NEA) Changi Airport climate station, which recorded a daytime peak of 33°C amid persistent high humidity and afternoon thundery showers typical of early May's inter-monsoon conditions. These showers, forecast by NEA for most days this fortnight, suppressed potential for higher readings beyond the climatological May average high of 32–33°C at the station. Scenarios challenging this include a late data revision from preliminary hourly logs or an anomalous microburst heat spike before midnight, though model consensus and historical patterns make such shifts improbable as the resolution window closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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