National Weather Service forecasts and recent model consensus point to a daytime high near 64–65°F at San Francisco International Airport today, driven by moderate onshore flow from the Pacific that sustains the marine layer while allowing partial stratus burn-off under building high pressure. This setup keeps temperatures below the May climatological average of 67°F, with west winds of 15–20 mph limiting afternoon warming and favoring the 46.5% market-implied probability for the 64–65°F bin. Lingering low clouds or thicker advection could cap readings at 62–63°F, while clearer conditions support a narrower path to 66–67°F. Hourly surface observations and updated guidance through the afternoon will refine these ranges as resolution approaches.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in San Francisco on May 16?
64-65°F 44%
62-63°F 25%
66-67°F 23%
68°F or higher 7%
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
25%
64-65°F
44%
66-67°F
23%
68°F or higher
7%
64-65°F 44%
62-63°F 25%
66-67°F 23%
68°F or higher 7%
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
25%
64-65°F
44%
66-67°F
23%
68°F or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and recent model consensus point to a daytime high near 64–65°F at San Francisco International Airport today, driven by moderate onshore flow from the Pacific that sustains the marine layer while allowing partial stratus burn-off under building high pressure. This setup keeps temperatures below the May climatological average of 67°F, with west winds of 15–20 mph limiting afternoon warming and favoring the 46.5% market-implied probability for the 64–65°F bin. Lingering low clouds or thicker advection could cap readings at 62–63°F, while clearer conditions support a narrower path to 66–67°F. Hourly surface observations and updated guidance through the afternoon will refine these ranges as resolution approaches.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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