Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Shanghai's highest temperature on May 16 at 25-26°C, reflecting trader sentiment with 25°C leading at 34.5%, closely trailed by 26°C (25.5%) and 24°C (24.5%). This tight clustering stems from mild southerly winds and partial cloud cover moderating daytime heating under typical early-May conditions, where historical highs average around 25°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Model spreads highlight uncertainty from variable low-level moisture and sea breeze effects, which could suppress peaks to 24°C or allow slight intensification to 26°C. Afternoon updates from global models and station observations will refine probabilities before resolution based on official Shanghai readings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 16?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 16?
25°C 34%
24°C 27%
26°C 24%
27°C 9%
$25,630 ปริมาณ
$25,630 ปริมาณ
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
6%
24°C
27%
25°C
34%
26°C
24%
27°C
9%
28°C
4%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 34%
24°C 27%
26°C 24%
27°C 9%
$25,630 ปริมาณ
$25,630 ปริมาณ
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
6%
24°C
27%
25°C
34%
26°C
24%
27°C
9%
28°C
4%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Shanghai's highest temperature on May 16 at 25-26°C, reflecting trader sentiment with 25°C leading at 34.5%, closely trailed by 26°C (25.5%) and 24°C (24.5%). This tight clustering stems from mild southerly winds and partial cloud cover moderating daytime heating under typical early-May conditions, where historical highs average around 25°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Model spreads highlight uncertainty from variable low-level moisture and sea breeze effects, which could suppress peaks to 24°C or allow slight intensification to 26°C. Afternoon updates from global models and station observations will refine probabilities before resolution based on official Shanghai readings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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