Recent forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature near 25°C today, driven by seasonal easterly winds and moderate sea surface temperatures in the South China Sea that limit daytime heating. Cloud cover and scattered showers are expected to cap peaks, keeping readings below historical May averages around 28°C. These atmospheric conditions explain the strong trader consensus on 25°C as the leading outcome, with minor probabilities assigned to 26°C if skies clear earlier than projected. Updated observational data later today could refine the final recorded high at official stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
25°C 86.7%
26°C 16%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$171,457 ปริมาณ
$171,457 ปริมาณ
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
82%
26°C
16%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 86.7%
26°C 16%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$171,457 ปริมาณ
$171,457 ปริมาณ
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
82%
26°C
16%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature near 25°C today, driven by seasonal easterly winds and moderate sea surface temperatures in the South China Sea that limit daytime heating. Cloud cover and scattered showers are expected to cap peaks, keeping readings below historical May averages around 28°C. These atmospheric conditions explain the strong trader consensus on 25°C as the leading outcome, with minor probabilities assigned to 26°C if skies clear earlier than projected. Updated observational data later today could refine the final recorded high at official stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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