Forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate substantial uncertainty for Karachi's peak temperature on May 18, with trader consensus favoring 34°C at 33.5% implied probability amid scattered projections ranging from 33°C to 36°C or higher. Pre-monsoon atmospheric conditions, including variable sea-breeze influences, low-level wind shear, and potential dust-laden westerlies, create model divergence in temperature maxima, while humidity levels and cloud cover further modulate outcomes. Historical May baselines for the region typically hover near 35°C, yet recent ensemble runs show sensitivity to short-term pressure gradients that could either enhance daytime heating or introduce cooling advection. Updated forecasts expected in the next 48 hours will likely clarify resolution thresholds around official observation sites.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Karachi on May 18?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 18?
36°C or higher 34%
34°C 34%
35°C 25%
33°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 18, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
13%
34°C
34%
35°C
25%
36°C or higher
34%
36°C or higher 34%
34°C 34%
35°C 25%
33°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 18, 2026
26°C or below
$270 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$1,067 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$110 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$60 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$200 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
33°C
$0 ปริมาณ
13%
34°C
$5 ปริมาณ
34%
35°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
36°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
34%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate substantial uncertainty for Karachi's peak temperature on May 18, with trader consensus favoring 34°C at 33.5% implied probability amid scattered projections ranging from 33°C to 36°C or higher. Pre-monsoon atmospheric conditions, including variable sea-breeze influences, low-level wind shear, and potential dust-laden westerlies, create model divergence in temperature maxima, while humidity levels and cloud cover further modulate outcomes. Historical May baselines for the region typically hover near 35°C, yet recent ensemble runs show sensitivity to short-term pressure gradients that could either enhance daytime heating or introduce cooling advection. Updated forecasts expected in the next 48 hours will likely clarify resolution thresholds around official observation sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$978วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate substantial uncertainty for Karachi's peak temperature on May 18, with trader consensus favoring 34°C at 33.5% implied probability amid scattered projections ranging from 33°C to 36°C or higher. Pre-monsoon atmospheric conditions, including variable sea-breeze influences, low-level wind shear, and potential dust-laden westerlies, create model divergence in temperature maxima, while humidity levels and cloud cover further modulate outcomes. Historical May baselines for the region typically hover near 35°C, yet recent ensemble runs show sensitivity to short-term pressure gradients that could either enhance daytime heating or introduce cooling advection. Updated forecasts expected in the next 48 hours will likely clarify resolution thresholds around official observation sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$978วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCForecast models from meteorological agencies indicate substantial uncertainty for Karachi's peak temperature on May 18, with trader consensus favoring 34°C at 33.5% implied probability amid scattered projections ranging from 33°C to 36°C or higher. Pre-monsoon atmospheric conditions, including variable sea-breeze influences, low-level wind shear, and potential dust-laden westerlies, create model divergence in temperature maxima, while humidity levels and cloud cover further modulate outcomes. Historical May baselines for the region typically hover near 35°C, yet recent ensemble runs show sensitivity to short-term pressure gradients that could either enhance daytime heating or introduce cooling advection. Updated forecasts expected in the next 48 hours will likely clarify resolution thresholds around official observation sites.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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