Market-implied probabilities place 37°C or higher at 48% for Karachi's peak temperature on May 17, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's (PMD) recent outlook for persistent hot, dry conditions through May 19 amid an ongoing heatwave. Recent observations show highs of 34-37°C over the past week—5-7°C above May norms of around 35°C—fueled by a high-pressure ridge over the subcontinent, northerly continental winds, and suppressed sea breezes that typically moderate coastal heat. PMD anticipates near-normal to 2°C-above-normal temperatures in coastal Sindh, aligning with historical heatwave patterns where peaks routinely exceed 37°C under clear skies and low humidity. Key uncertainty stems from evolving sea breeze development; watch PMD's May 16 bulletin for updated model consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Karachi on May 17?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 17?
37°C or higher 47%
36°C 34%
35°C 26%
34°C 11.1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 17, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
11%
35°C
22%
36°C
34%
37°C or higher
42%
37°C or higher 47%
36°C 34%
35°C 26%
34°C 11.1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 17, 2026
27°C or below
$787 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$3,291 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$3,186 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$510 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$310 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$24 ปริมาณ
1%
33°C
$114 ปริมาณ
2%
34°C
$109 ปริมาณ
11%
35°C
$11 ปริมาณ
22%
36°C
$5 ปริมาณ
34%
37°C or higher
$7 ปริมาณ
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Market-implied probabilities place 37°C or higher at 48% for Karachi's peak temperature on May 17, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's (PMD) recent outlook for persistent hot, dry conditions through May 19 amid an ongoing heatwave. Recent observations show highs of 34-37°C over the past week—5-7°C above May norms of around 35°C—fueled by a high-pressure ridge over the subcontinent, northerly continental winds, and suppressed sea breezes that typically moderate coastal heat. PMD anticipates near-normal to 2°C-above-normal temperatures in coastal Sindh, aligning with historical heatwave patterns where peaks routinely exceed 37°C under clear skies and low humidity. Key uncertainty stems from evolving sea breeze development; watch PMD's May 16 bulletin for updated model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,356วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Market-implied probabilities place 37°C or higher at 48% for Karachi's peak temperature on May 17, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's (PMD) recent outlook for persistent hot, dry conditions through May 19 amid an ongoing heatwave. Recent observations show highs of 34-37°C over the past week—5-7°C above May norms of around 35°C—fueled by a high-pressure ridge over the subcontinent, northerly continental winds, and suppressed sea breezes that typically moderate coastal heat. PMD anticipates near-normal to 2°C-above-normal temperatures in coastal Sindh, aligning with historical heatwave patterns where peaks routinely exceed 37°C under clear skies and low humidity. Key uncertainty stems from evolving sea breeze development; watch PMD's May 16 bulletin for updated model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,356วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCMarket-implied probabilities place 37°C or higher at 48% for Karachi's peak temperature on May 17, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's (PMD) recent outlook for persistent hot, dry conditions through May 19 amid an ongoing heatwave. Recent observations show highs of 34-37°C over the past week—5-7°C above May norms of around 35°C—fueled by a high-pressure ridge over the subcontinent, northerly continental winds, and suppressed sea breezes that typically moderate coastal heat. PMD anticipates near-normal to 2°C-above-normal temperatures in coastal Sindh, aligning with historical heatwave patterns where peaks routinely exceed 37°C under clear skies and low humidity. Key uncertainty stems from evolving sea breeze development; watch PMD's May 16 bulletin for updated model consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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