Latest Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) guidance and global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF project Karachi's highest temperature on May 15 clustering around 35-36°C amid persistent pre-monsoon high pressure and hot, dry continental air masses, driving the near-even market-implied odds between 35°C (34.5%) and 36°C or higher (34.0%). Ongoing heatwave conditions through May 18, with recent peaks exceeding 44°C earlier this month, have moderated slightly due to strengthening westerly sea breezes (20-30 mph WSW winds) and hazy skies reducing peak solar heating, creating uncertainty over whether upper-level ridging will sustain 36°C+ or if coastal moderation caps it at 35°C. Resolution hinges on official PMD measurements at Masroor Airbase Station; watch for afternoon forecast updates and evening model runs that could tip the balance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Karachi on May 15?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 15?
36°C or higher 34%
34°C 27%
35°C 27%
33°C 4.5%
ใหม่
$10,614 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,614 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
27%
35°C
27%
36°C or higher
34%
36°C or higher 34%
34°C 27%
35°C 27%
33°C 4.5%
ใหม่
$10,614 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,614 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
26°C or below
$1,013 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$1,114 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$923 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$875 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$1,117 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$894 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$1,047 ปริมาณ
1%
33°C
$1,206 ปริมาณ
4%
34°C
$966 ปริมาณ
27%
35°C
$877 ปริมาณ
27%
36°C or higher
$582 ปริมาณ
34%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) guidance and global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF project Karachi's highest temperature on May 15 clustering around 35-36°C amid persistent pre-monsoon high pressure and hot, dry continental air masses, driving the near-even market-implied odds between 35°C (34.5%) and 36°C or higher (34.0%). Ongoing heatwave conditions through May 18, with recent peaks exceeding 44°C earlier this month, have moderated slightly due to strengthening westerly sea breezes (20-30 mph WSW winds) and hazy skies reducing peak solar heating, creating uncertainty over whether upper-level ridging will sustain 36°C+ or if coastal moderation caps it at 35°C. Resolution hinges on official PMD measurements at Masroor Airbase Station; watch for afternoon forecast updates and evening model runs that could tip the balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,614วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 1:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) guidance and global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF project Karachi's highest temperature on May 15 clustering around 35-36°C amid persistent pre-monsoon high pressure and hot, dry continental air masses, driving the near-even market-implied odds between 35°C (34.5%) and 36°C or higher (34.0%). Ongoing heatwave conditions through May 18, with recent peaks exceeding 44°C earlier this month, have moderated slightly due to strengthening westerly sea breezes (20-30 mph WSW winds) and hazy skies reducing peak solar heating, creating uncertainty over whether upper-level ridging will sustain 36°C+ or if coastal moderation caps it at 35°C. Resolution hinges on official PMD measurements at Masroor Airbase Station; watch for afternoon forecast updates and evening model runs that could tip the balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,614วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 1:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) guidance and global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF project Karachi's highest temperature on May 15 clustering around 35-36°C amid persistent pre-monsoon high pressure and hot, dry continental air masses, driving the near-even market-implied odds between 35°C (34.5%) and 36°C or higher (34.0%). Ongoing heatwave conditions through May 18, with recent peaks exceeding 44°C earlier this month, have moderated slightly due to strengthening westerly sea breezes (20-30 mph WSW winds) and hazy skies reducing peak solar heating, creating uncertainty over whether upper-level ridging will sustain 36°C+ or if coastal moderation caps it at 35°C. Resolution hinges on official PMD measurements at Masroor Airbase Station; watch for afternoon forecast updates and evening model runs that could tip the balance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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