MetService New Zealand's official observations from the Kelburn station—the authoritative site for Wellington city temperatures—confirm the highest temperature on May 14 reached 15°C mid-afternoon, verified by platinum thermometer readings rounded to whole degrees Celsius. This aligns with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 15°C, driven by real-time data releases showing no exceedance amid southerly winds suppressing warming potential and partly cloudy skies limiting solar heating. Autumn climatology supports this, with May average highs around 14°C and southerlies typical for cool snaps. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-finalization data revisions from NIWA audits or measurement discrepancies at Wellington Airport, though market rules disregard such changes once settled.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on May 14?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 14?
15°C 100.0%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
18°C or higher <1%
$59,065 ปริมาณ
$59,065 ปริมาณ
May 14, 2026
15°C
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
15°C 100.0%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
18°C or higher <1%
$59,065 ปริมาณ
$59,065 ปริมาณ
May 14, 2026
15°C
$11,007 ปริมาณ
100%
16°C
$6,469 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$4,999 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C or higher
$5,647 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService New Zealand's official observations from the Kelburn station—the authoritative site for Wellington city temperatures—confirm the highest temperature on May 14 reached 15°C mid-afternoon, verified by platinum thermometer readings rounded to whole degrees Celsius. This aligns with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 15°C, driven by real-time data releases showing no exceedance amid southerly winds suppressing warming potential and partly cloudy skies limiting solar heating. Autumn climatology supports this, with May average highs around 14°C and southerlies typical for cool snaps. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-finalization data revisions from NIWA audits or measurement discrepancies at Wellington Airport, though market rules disregard such changes once settled.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$59,065วันสิ้นสุด
May 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService New Zealand's official observations from the Kelburn station—the authoritative site for Wellington city temperatures—confirm the highest temperature on May 14 reached 15°C mid-afternoon, verified by platinum thermometer readings rounded to whole degrees Celsius. This aligns with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 15°C, driven by real-time data releases showing no exceedance amid southerly winds suppressing warming potential and partly cloudy skies limiting solar heating. Autumn climatology supports this, with May average highs around 14°C and southerlies typical for cool snaps. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-finalization data revisions from NIWA audits or measurement discrepancies at Wellington Airport, though market rules disregard such changes once settled.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$59,065วันสิ้นสุด
May 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService New Zealand's official observations from the Kelburn station—the authoritative site for Wellington city temperatures—confirm the highest temperature on May 14 reached 15°C mid-afternoon, verified by platinum thermometer readings rounded to whole degrees Celsius. This aligns with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 15°C, driven by real-time data releases showing no exceedance amid southerly winds suppressing warming potential and partly cloudy skies limiting solar heating. Autumn climatology supports this, with May average highs around 14°C and southerlies typical for cool snaps. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-finalization data revisions from NIWA audits or measurement discrepancies at Wellington Airport, though market rules disregard such changes once settled.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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