Traders have overwhelmingly backed a high temperature of 25°C for Tokyo on May 16, driven by stable atmospheric patterns and consistent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency. Current model runs show moderate southerly flow under clear skies, keeping daytime maxima aligned with seasonal norms near 23–25°C rather than triggering rapid warming. Official observations from central stations confirm no heat advection or urban heat-island amplification beyond expectations. This positioning reflects the wisdom of crowds incorporating real-time data releases. A modest northward shift in the subtropical ridge or an unexpected clear-sky radiative boost could still push readings to 26°C, though the latest ensemble guidance assigns low probability to such outcomes before sunset.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 16?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 16?
25°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
$115,279 ปริมาณ
$115,279 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
$115,279 ปริมาณ
$115,279 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
25°C
$13,294 ปริมาณ
100%
26°C
$10,282 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$12,449 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C or higher
$19,493 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have overwhelmingly backed a high temperature of 25°C for Tokyo on May 16, driven by stable atmospheric patterns and consistent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency. Current model runs show moderate southerly flow under clear skies, keeping daytime maxima aligned with seasonal norms near 23–25°C rather than triggering rapid warming. Official observations from central stations confirm no heat advection or urban heat-island amplification beyond expectations. This positioning reflects the wisdom of crowds incorporating real-time data releases. A modest northward shift in the subtropical ridge or an unexpected clear-sky radiative boost could still push readings to 26°C, though the latest ensemble guidance assigns low probability to such outcomes before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$115,279วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have overwhelmingly backed a high temperature of 25°C for Tokyo on May 16, driven by stable atmospheric patterns and consistent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency. Current model runs show moderate southerly flow under clear skies, keeping daytime maxima aligned with seasonal norms near 23–25°C rather than triggering rapid warming. Official observations from central stations confirm no heat advection or urban heat-island amplification beyond expectations. This positioning reflects the wisdom of crowds incorporating real-time data releases. A modest northward shift in the subtropical ridge or an unexpected clear-sky radiative boost could still push readings to 26°C, though the latest ensemble guidance assigns low probability to such outcomes before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$115,279วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have overwhelmingly backed a high temperature of 25°C for Tokyo on May 16, driven by stable atmospheric patterns and consistent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency. Current model runs show moderate southerly flow under clear skies, keeping daytime maxima aligned with seasonal norms near 23–25°C rather than triggering rapid warming. Official observations from central stations confirm no heat advection or urban heat-island amplification beyond expectations. This positioning reflects the wisdom of crowds incorporating real-time data releases. A modest northward shift in the subtropical ridge or an unexpected clear-sky radiative boost could still push readings to 26°C, though the latest ensemble guidance assigns low probability to such outcomes before sunset.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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