Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the Korean peninsula through mid-May, favoring clear skies and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling and support minimum temperatures near 16–17°C in Seoul on May 20. Model consensus remains tight on this range, with limited spread from upstream Pacific moisture and modest daytime heating around 22–24°C, though small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could push the low 1–2°C either side. Historical May climatology shows typical overnight minima near 12–14°C, underscoring the current warmer anomaly and why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 16°C and 17°C while assigning lower odds to cooler thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Seoul on May 20?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 20?
16°C 24%
17°C 24%
15°C 17%
14°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 20, 2026
12°C or below
3%
13°C
3%
14°C
13%
15°C
17%
16°C
24%
17°C
26%
18°C
9%
19°C
4%
20°C
3%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
3%
16°C 24%
17°C 24%
15°C 17%
14°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 20, 2026
12°C or below
$15 ปริมาณ
3%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
14°C
$39 ปริมาณ
13%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
17%
16°C
$12 ปริมาณ
24%
17°C
$8 ปริมาณ
26%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
22°C or higher
$53 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the Korean peninsula through mid-May, favoring clear skies and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling and support minimum temperatures near 16–17°C in Seoul on May 20. Model consensus remains tight on this range, with limited spread from upstream Pacific moisture and modest daytime heating around 22–24°C, though small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could push the low 1–2°C either side. Historical May climatology shows typical overnight minima near 12–14°C, underscoring the current warmer anomaly and why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 16°C and 17°C while assigning lower odds to cooler thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$127วันสิ้นสุด
May 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the Korean peninsula through mid-May, favoring clear skies and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling and support minimum temperatures near 16–17°C in Seoul on May 20. Model consensus remains tight on this range, with limited spread from upstream Pacific moisture and modest daytime heating around 22–24°C, though small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could push the low 1–2°C either side. Historical May climatology shows typical overnight minima near 12–14°C, underscoring the current warmer anomaly and why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 16°C and 17°C while assigning lower odds to cooler thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$127วันสิ้นสุด
May 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIRecent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the Korean peninsula through mid-May, favoring clear skies and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling and support minimum temperatures near 16–17°C in Seoul on May 20. Model consensus remains tight on this range, with limited spread from upstream Pacific moisture and modest daytime heating around 22–24°C, though small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could push the low 1–2°C either side. Historical May climatology shows typical overnight minima near 12–14°C, underscoring the current warmer anomaly and why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 16°C and 17°C while assigning lower odds to cooler thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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