Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 21°C (36.5% implied probability) in Ankara on May 16, closely followed by 22°C (25%) and 20°C (20%), reflecting the latest guidance from global models like ECMWF and GFS alongside Turkish State Meteorological Service projections clustering around 20-22°C. Mid-May climatology in Ankara's continental climate typically delivers highs of 20-23°C with increasing solar insolation and light southerly winds promoting daytime heating, while stable high-pressure patterns limit extremes. Recent 24-hour model runs confirm this tight range, with negligible probabilities for 24°C+ due to insufficient upper-level support for stronger warm-air advection. Monitor MGM's intraday updates for cloudiness or wind shear adjustments before resolution at Esenboğa Airport station.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Ankara on May 16?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 16?
21°C 39%
22°C 25%
20°C 20%
19°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 16, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
7%
20°C
20%
21°C
39%
22°C
25%
23°C
6%
24°C or higher
1%
21°C 39%
22°C 25%
20°C 20%
19°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 16, 2026
14°C or below
$285 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$433 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$221 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$269 ปริมาณ
1%
18°C
$149 ปริมาณ
3%
19°C
$600 ปริมาณ
7%
20°C
$1,133 ปริมาณ
20%
21°C
$431 ปริมาณ
39%
22°C
$415 ปริมาณ
25%
23°C
$208 ปริมาณ
6%
24°C or higher
$336 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 21°C (36.5% implied probability) in Ankara on May 16, closely followed by 22°C (25%) and 20°C (20%), reflecting the latest guidance from global models like ECMWF and GFS alongside Turkish State Meteorological Service projections clustering around 20-22°C. Mid-May climatology in Ankara's continental climate typically delivers highs of 20-23°C with increasing solar insolation and light southerly winds promoting daytime heating, while stable high-pressure patterns limit extremes. Recent 24-hour model runs confirm this tight range, with negligible probabilities for 24°C+ due to insufficient upper-level support for stronger warm-air advection. Monitor MGM's intraday updates for cloudiness or wind shear adjustments before resolution at Esenboğa Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,472วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 21°C (36.5% implied probability) in Ankara on May 16, closely followed by 22°C (25%) and 20°C (20%), reflecting the latest guidance from global models like ECMWF and GFS alongside Turkish State Meteorological Service projections clustering around 20-22°C. Mid-May climatology in Ankara's continental climate typically delivers highs of 20-23°C with increasing solar insolation and light southerly winds promoting daytime heating, while stable high-pressure patterns limit extremes. Recent 24-hour model runs confirm this tight range, with negligible probabilities for 24°C+ due to insufficient upper-level support for stronger warm-air advection. Monitor MGM's intraday updates for cloudiness or wind shear adjustments before resolution at Esenboğa Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,472วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 21°C (36.5% implied probability) in Ankara on May 16, closely followed by 22°C (25%) and 20°C (20%), reflecting the latest guidance from global models like ECMWF and GFS alongside Turkish State Meteorological Service projections clustering around 20-22°C. Mid-May climatology in Ankara's continental climate typically delivers highs of 20-23°C with increasing solar insolation and light southerly winds promoting daytime heating, while stable high-pressure patterns limit extremes. Recent 24-hour model runs confirm this tight range, with negligible probabilities for 24°C+ due to insufficient upper-level support for stronger warm-air advection. Monitor MGM's intraday updates for cloudiness or wind shear adjustments before resolution at Esenboğa Airport station.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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