Recent forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the National Centers for Environmental Prediction show Moscow's May 16 high temperature hovering near 20–22 °C, with ensemble spreads reflecting moderate uncertainty from a passing warm front and variable cloud cover. Persistent southwesterly flow has supported daytime warming above seasonal averages, while overnight radiational cooling remains limited by increasing humidity. Traders have assigned the highest implied probability to 21 °C, consistent with the latest model consensus and historical mid-May analogs that rarely exceed 23 °C under similar synoptic patterns. Key variables that could shift outcomes include the exact timing of frontal passage, local urban heat-island effects, and any last-minute adjustments in guidance from the Russian Federal Service for Hydrometeorology before the 24-hour verification window closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on May 16?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 16?
21°C 35%
22°C 22.4%
20°C 19%
23°C or higher 17.6%
ใหม่
$13,756 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$13,756 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
19%
21°C
37%
22°C
22%
23°C or higher
18%
21°C 35%
22°C 22.4%
20°C 19%
23°C or higher 17.6%
ใหม่
$13,756 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$13,756 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
13°C or below
$1,499 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$681 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$661 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$1,249 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$2,218 ปริมาณ
1%
18°C
$2,148 ปริมาณ
1%
19°C
$1,363 ปริมาณ
4%
20°C
$380 ปริมาณ
19%
21°C
$535 ปริมาณ
37%
22°C
$557 ปริมาณ
22%
23°C or higher
$2,466 ปริมาณ
18%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the National Centers for Environmental Prediction show Moscow's May 16 high temperature hovering near 20–22 °C, with ensemble spreads reflecting moderate uncertainty from a passing warm front and variable cloud cover. Persistent southwesterly flow has supported daytime warming above seasonal averages, while overnight radiational cooling remains limited by increasing humidity. Traders have assigned the highest implied probability to 21 °C, consistent with the latest model consensus and historical mid-May analogs that rarely exceed 23 °C under similar synoptic patterns. Key variables that could shift outcomes include the exact timing of frontal passage, local urban heat-island effects, and any last-minute adjustments in guidance from the Russian Federal Service for Hydrometeorology before the 24-hour verification window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,756วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the National Centers for Environmental Prediction show Moscow's May 16 high temperature hovering near 20–22 °C, with ensemble spreads reflecting moderate uncertainty from a passing warm front and variable cloud cover. Persistent southwesterly flow has supported daytime warming above seasonal averages, while overnight radiational cooling remains limited by increasing humidity. Traders have assigned the highest implied probability to 21 °C, consistent with the latest model consensus and historical mid-May analogs that rarely exceed 23 °C under similar synoptic patterns. Key variables that could shift outcomes include the exact timing of frontal passage, local urban heat-island effects, and any last-minute adjustments in guidance from the Russian Federal Service for Hydrometeorology before the 24-hour verification window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,756วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the National Centers for Environmental Prediction show Moscow's May 16 high temperature hovering near 20–22 °C, with ensemble spreads reflecting moderate uncertainty from a passing warm front and variable cloud cover. Persistent southwesterly flow has supported daytime warming above seasonal averages, while overnight radiational cooling remains limited by increasing humidity. Traders have assigned the highest implied probability to 21 °C, consistent with the latest model consensus and historical mid-May analogs that rarely exceed 23 °C under similar synoptic patterns. Key variables that could shift outcomes include the exact timing of frontal passage, local urban heat-island effects, and any last-minute adjustments in guidance from the Russian Federal Service for Hydrometeorology before the 24-hour verification window closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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