Official observations from Brazil’s Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia confirmed a daily maximum temperature at or below 20°C in São Paulo on May 15, anchoring the market-implied odds at essentially 100% for that outcome. A persistent polar air mass, reinforced by strong southerly winds and extensive cloud cover with relative humidity near 90%, suppressed daytime heating and produced stable atmospheric conditions that kept readings well below the month’s climatological average of roughly 23°C. High-resolution models from INMET and CPTEC converged on subdued highs around 19°C, with only limited clearing possible late in the day. While station-to-station micro-variations or post-processing revisions could theoretically nudge the final recorded value, the broad observational consensus across automated networks leaves little realistic scope for a higher outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 15?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 15?
20°C or below 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$68,505 ปริมาณ
$68,505 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
20°C or below
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
20°C or below 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$68,505 ปริมาณ
$68,505 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
20°C or below
$18,820 ปริมาณ
Yes
21°C
$6,696 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$7,367 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$6,674 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$6,943 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$8,183 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$5,085 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$3,005 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$2,803 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$854 ปริมาณ
No
30°C or higher
$2,074 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Brazil’s Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia confirmed a daily maximum temperature at or below 20°C in São Paulo on May 15, anchoring the market-implied odds at essentially 100% for that outcome. A persistent polar air mass, reinforced by strong southerly winds and extensive cloud cover with relative humidity near 90%, suppressed daytime heating and produced stable atmospheric conditions that kept readings well below the month’s climatological average of roughly 23°C. High-resolution models from INMET and CPTEC converged on subdued highs around 19°C, with only limited clearing possible late in the day. While station-to-station micro-variations or post-processing revisions could theoretically nudge the final recorded value, the broad observational consensus across automated networks leaves little realistic scope for a higher outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$68,505วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Brazil’s Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia confirmed a daily maximum temperature at or below 20°C in São Paulo on May 15, anchoring the market-implied odds at essentially 100% for that outcome. A persistent polar air mass, reinforced by strong southerly winds and extensive cloud cover with relative humidity near 90%, suppressed daytime heating and produced stable atmospheric conditions that kept readings well below the month’s climatological average of roughly 23°C. High-resolution models from INMET and CPTEC converged on subdued highs around 19°C, with only limited clearing possible late in the day. While station-to-station micro-variations or post-processing revisions could theoretically nudge the final recorded value, the broad observational consensus across automated networks leaves little realistic scope for a higher outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$68,505วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
Official observations from Brazil’s Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia confirmed a daily maximum temperature at or below 20°C in São Paulo on May 15, anchoring the market-implied odds at essentially 100% for that outcome. A persistent polar air mass, reinforced by strong southerly winds and extensive cloud cover with relative humidity near 90%, suppressed daytime heating and produced stable atmospheric conditions that kept readings well below the month’s climatological average of roughly 23°C. High-resolution models from INMET and CPTEC converged on subdued highs around 19°C, with only limited clearing possible late in the day. While station-to-station micro-variations or post-processing revisions could theoretically nudge the final recorded value, the broad observational consensus across automated networks leaves little realistic scope for a higher outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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