Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 33°C high temperature in Jakarta on May 16 at 72% implied probability, driven by the latest BMKG forecast updates and AccuWeather model consensus projecting peak daytime heat of 33°C at the Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport station amid the onset of the dry season. Recent observations show consistent 32–34°C highs over the past week, including a 35°C spike on May 12, bolstered by equatorial solar insolation, urban heat island effects, and low humidity amplifying perceived warmth. Secondary odds on 32°C (13.5%) reflect risks of afternoon thunderstorms or increased cloud cover capping intensity, per ensemble model runs. Watch BMKG hourly observations starting post-midnight for shifts, as short-term tropical forecasts carry inherent uncertainty from convective activity.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 16?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 16?
33°C 74%
32°C 14%
34°C 12%
31°C 4.8%
ใหม่
$29,647 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$29,647 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
14%
33°C
74%
34°C
12%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
<1%
33°C 74%
32°C 14%
34°C 12%
31°C 4.8%
ใหม่
$29,647 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$29,647 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
26°C or below
$3,076 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$2,470 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$1,111 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$967 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$2,508 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$5,814 ปริมาณ
5%
32°C
$2,984 ปริมาณ
14%
33°C
$5,320 ปริมาณ
74%
34°C
$2,489 ปริมาณ
12%
35°C
$1,179 ปริมาณ
2%
36°C or higher
$1,743 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 33°C high temperature in Jakarta on May 16 at 72% implied probability, driven by the latest BMKG forecast updates and AccuWeather model consensus projecting peak daytime heat of 33°C at the Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport station amid the onset of the dry season. Recent observations show consistent 32–34°C highs over the past week, including a 35°C spike on May 12, bolstered by equatorial solar insolation, urban heat island effects, and low humidity amplifying perceived warmth. Secondary odds on 32°C (13.5%) reflect risks of afternoon thunderstorms or increased cloud cover capping intensity, per ensemble model runs. Watch BMKG hourly observations starting post-midnight for shifts, as short-term tropical forecasts carry inherent uncertainty from convective activity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 14, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,647วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:21 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 33°C high temperature in Jakarta on May 16 at 72% implied probability, driven by the latest BMKG forecast updates and AccuWeather model consensus projecting peak daytime heat of 33°C at the Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport station amid the onset of the dry season. Recent observations show consistent 32–34°C highs over the past week, including a 35°C spike on May 12, bolstered by equatorial solar insolation, urban heat island effects, and low humidity amplifying perceived warmth. Secondary odds on 32°C (13.5%) reflect risks of afternoon thunderstorms or increased cloud cover capping intensity, per ensemble model runs. Watch BMKG hourly observations starting post-midnight for shifts, as short-term tropical forecasts carry inherent uncertainty from convective activity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,647วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:21 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 33°C high temperature in Jakarta on May 16 at 72% implied probability, driven by the latest BMKG forecast updates and AccuWeather model consensus projecting peak daytime heat of 33°C at the Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport station amid the onset of the dry season. Recent observations show consistent 32–34°C highs over the past week, including a 35°C spike on May 12, bolstered by equatorial solar insolation, urban heat island effects, and low humidity amplifying perceived warmth. Secondary odds on 32°C (13.5%) reflect risks of afternoon thunderstorms or increased cloud cover capping intensity, per ensemble model runs. Watch BMKG hourly observations starting post-midnight for shifts, as short-term tropical forecasts carry inherent uncertainty from convective activity.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย