Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 32°C at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport station today, with 99.9% implied probability, driven by consistent observational data and forecast model outputs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS. Current readings from METAR reports at ZGGG show air temperatures already reaching 31–32°C amid partly cloudy skies, high humidity around 70–85%, and light southerly winds, aligning with typical mid-May subtropical monsoon patterns where peaks occur midday. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game agreement on limited intensification potential due to impending showers. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting solar heating to 33°C+ (unlikely given 40–60% thunderstorm risk) or heavier rain capping at 31°C, with final observations resolving post-midnight UTC.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 14?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 14?
32°C 100.0%
31°C <1%
33°C <1%
34°C or higher <1%
$55,589 ปริมาณ
$55,589 ปริมาณ
May 14, 2026
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
32°C 100.0%
31°C <1%
33°C <1%
34°C or higher <1%
$55,589 ปริมาณ
$55,589 ปริมาณ
May 14, 2026
31°C
$9,788 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$11,339 ปริมาณ
100%
33°C
$5,924 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C or higher
$6,352 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 32°C at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport station today, with 99.9% implied probability, driven by consistent observational data and forecast model outputs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS. Current readings from METAR reports at ZGGG show air temperatures already reaching 31–32°C amid partly cloudy skies, high humidity around 70–85%, and light southerly winds, aligning with typical mid-May subtropical monsoon patterns where peaks occur midday. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game agreement on limited intensification potential due to impending showers. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting solar heating to 33°C+ (unlikely given 40–60% thunderstorm risk) or heavier rain capping at 31°C, with final observations resolving post-midnight UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$55,589วันสิ้นสุด
May 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ช่วงเวลาคัดค้าน
สิ้นสุด
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 32°C at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport station today, with 99.9% implied probability, driven by consistent observational data and forecast model outputs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS. Current readings from METAR reports at ZGGG show air temperatures already reaching 31–32°C amid partly cloudy skies, high humidity around 70–85%, and light southerly winds, aligning with typical mid-May subtropical monsoon patterns where peaks occur midday. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game agreement on limited intensification potential due to impending showers. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting solar heating to 33°C+ (unlikely given 40–60% thunderstorm risk) or heavier rain capping at 31°C, with final observations resolving post-midnight UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$55,589วันสิ้นสุด
May 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ช่วงเวลาคัดค้าน
สิ้นสุด
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 32°C at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport station today, with 99.9% implied probability, driven by consistent observational data and forecast model outputs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS. Current readings from METAR reports at ZGGG show air temperatures already reaching 31–32°C amid partly cloudy skies, high humidity around 70–85%, and light southerly winds, aligning with typical mid-May subtropical monsoon patterns where peaks occur midday. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game agreement on limited intensification potential due to impending showers. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting solar heating to 33°C+ (unlikely given 40–60% thunderstorm risk) or heavier rain capping at 31°C, with final observations resolving post-midnight UTC.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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