Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 78.5% implied probability to a high of 36°C or higher in Karachi today, driven by Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) forecasts predicting hot and humid conditions with maximums of 34–36°C amid strong westerly dusty winds that have suppressed cooling sea breezes, trapping continental heat. Current observations show midday temperatures already reaching 35°C under partly sunny skies, with hourly models from BBC Weather and AccuWeather projecting afternoon peaks near 37°C (99°F), consistent with May's climatological norms of 34–37°C highs exacerbated by this year's persistent high-pressure ridge following an early-month heatwave that peaked at 44°C on May 4. Recent surges to 40°C yesterday underscore the trend, though a late-afternoon marine influx could limit it to 35°C; PMD's evening synoptic report will clarify resolution based on official airport measurements.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Karachi on May 14?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 14?
36°C or higher 63%
35°C 26%
34°C 4.5%
32°C <1%
$18,642 ปริมาณ
$18,642 ปริมาณ
May 14, 2026
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
4%
35°C
26%
36°C or higher
63%
36°C or higher 63%
35°C 26%
34°C 4.5%
32°C <1%
$18,642 ปริมาณ
$18,642 ปริมาณ
May 14, 2026
32°C
$3,399 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$3,043 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$2,086 ปริมาณ
4%
35°C
$1,351 ปริมาณ
26%
36°C or higher
$1,499 ปริมาณ
63%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 78.5% implied probability to a high of 36°C or higher in Karachi today, driven by Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) forecasts predicting hot and humid conditions with maximums of 34–36°C amid strong westerly dusty winds that have suppressed cooling sea breezes, trapping continental heat. Current observations show midday temperatures already reaching 35°C under partly sunny skies, with hourly models from BBC Weather and AccuWeather projecting afternoon peaks near 37°C (99°F), consistent with May's climatological norms of 34–37°C highs exacerbated by this year's persistent high-pressure ridge following an early-month heatwave that peaked at 44°C on May 4. Recent surges to 40°C yesterday underscore the trend, though a late-afternoon marine influx could limit it to 35°C; PMD's evening synoptic report will clarify resolution based on official airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,642วันสิ้นสุด
May 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 78.5% implied probability to a high of 36°C or higher in Karachi today, driven by Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) forecasts predicting hot and humid conditions with maximums of 34–36°C amid strong westerly dusty winds that have suppressed cooling sea breezes, trapping continental heat. Current observations show midday temperatures already reaching 35°C under partly sunny skies, with hourly models from BBC Weather and AccuWeather projecting afternoon peaks near 37°C (99°F), consistent with May's climatological norms of 34–37°C highs exacerbated by this year's persistent high-pressure ridge following an early-month heatwave that peaked at 44°C on May 4. Recent surges to 40°C yesterday underscore the trend, though a late-afternoon marine influx could limit it to 35°C; PMD's evening synoptic report will clarify resolution based on official airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,642วันสิ้นสุด
May 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 78.5% implied probability to a high of 36°C or higher in Karachi today, driven by Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) forecasts predicting hot and humid conditions with maximums of 34–36°C amid strong westerly dusty winds that have suppressed cooling sea breezes, trapping continental heat. Current observations show midday temperatures already reaching 35°C under partly sunny skies, with hourly models from BBC Weather and AccuWeather projecting afternoon peaks near 37°C (99°F), consistent with May's climatological norms of 34–37°C highs exacerbated by this year's persistent high-pressure ridge following an early-month heatwave that peaked at 44°C on May 4. Recent surges to 40°C yesterday underscore the trend, though a late-afternoon marine influx could limit it to 35°C; PMD's evening synoptic report will clarify resolution based on official airport measurements.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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