Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 58% implied probability on a 68-69°F high at Los Angeles International Airport today, aligning closely with National Weather Service guidance forecasting a peak near 69°F amid persistent May Gray conditions. Thick stratocumulus decks from the cool marine layer, fueled by sea surface temperatures in the upper 50s°F, combined with steady west-southwest onshore winds of 5-10 mph, have suppressed heating over the past week—yesterday's observations stalled near 63°F before modest recovery into the upper 60s. This matches the climatological May 15 normal of 69°F, with model ensembles showing limited burn-off potential. Hourly KLAX data through late afternoon will clarify if clearing skies tip toward 70-71°F, though current trends favor the leading bin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Los Angeles on May 15?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 15?
68-69°F 58%
66-67°F 20%
70-71°F 19%
64-65°F 1.6%
$28,219 ปริมาณ
$28,219 ปริมาณ
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
20%
68-69°F
58%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
1%
68-69°F 58%
66-67°F 20%
70-71°F 19%
64-65°F 1.6%
$28,219 ปริมาณ
$28,219 ปริมาณ
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
20%
68-69°F
58%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 58% implied probability on a 68-69°F high at Los Angeles International Airport today, aligning closely with National Weather Service guidance forecasting a peak near 69°F amid persistent May Gray conditions. Thick stratocumulus decks from the cool marine layer, fueled by sea surface temperatures in the upper 50s°F, combined with steady west-southwest onshore winds of 5-10 mph, have suppressed heating over the past week—yesterday's observations stalled near 63°F before modest recovery into the upper 60s. This matches the climatological May 15 normal of 69°F, with model ensembles showing limited burn-off potential. Hourly KLAX data through late afternoon will clarify if clearing skies tip toward 70-71°F, though current trends favor the leading bin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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