Recent forecast updates from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS indicate a Guangzhou high temperature on May 17 most likely settling between 28–29°C, reflecting a moderating subtropical ridge combined with patchy light rain and increased cloud cover that limits peak solar insolation. These conditions align with typical early-monsoon transitional patterns in the Pearl River Delta, where daytime heating is tempered by humidity levels above 70 percent and brief convective showers. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 29–30°C, yet the current spread in model guidance creates genuine uncertainty around exact peak timing, allowing 28°C and 29°C outcomes to trade nearly even. Final resolution hinges on the official hourly observations, with traders closely monitoring the next CMA bulletin for any shifts in precipitation probability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 17?
28°C 39%
29°C 32%
27°C 17%
26°C 10%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
10%
27°C
17%
28°C
39%
29°C
32%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 39%
29°C 32%
27°C 17%
26°C 10%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
10%
27°C
17%
28°C
39%
29°C
32%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGRecent forecast updates from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS indicate a Guangzhou high temperature on May 17 most likely settling between 28–29°C, reflecting a moderating subtropical ridge combined with patchy light rain and increased cloud cover that limits peak solar insolation. These conditions align with typical early-monsoon transitional patterns in the Pearl River Delta, where daytime heating is tempered by humidity levels above 70 percent and brief convective showers. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 29–30°C, yet the current spread in model guidance creates genuine uncertainty around exact peak timing, allowing 28°C and 29°C outcomes to trade nearly even. Final resolution hinges on the official hourly observations, with traders closely monitoring the next CMA bulletin for any shifts in precipitation probability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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