Latest ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF models indicates Panama City will likely reach or exceed 33 °C on May 17 under a dry continental air mass advected from northern Central America combined with peak May solar insolation. This setup favors strong daytime heating with limited cloud cover and suppressed convection from the Intertropical Convergence Zone, pushing maximum temperatures into the upper 32–35 °C range at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport. Historical May climatology shows average daily highs of 31–34 °C in the tropical lowland environment, providing a warm baseline that reinforces the market-implied 70 % probability for the 33 °C or higher outcome. Any increase in morning cloudiness or earlier shower development could cap readings at 32 °C, yet current model consensus and light northwest winds support the leading probability. Hourly METAR observations through the afternoon will confirm the final maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Panama City on May 17?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 17?
33°C or higher 72%
32°C 19%
31°C 12%
30°C 2.1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
12%
32°C
19%
33°C or higher
72%
33°C or higher 72%
32°C 19%
31°C 12%
30°C 2.1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
$379 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$327 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$527 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$630 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$703 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$529 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$672 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$1,226 ปริมาณ
2%
31°C
$1,358 ปริมาณ
12%
32°C
$597 ปริมาณ
19%
33°C or higher
$1,387 ปริมาณ
72%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF models indicates Panama City will likely reach or exceed 33 °C on May 17 under a dry continental air mass advected from northern Central America combined with peak May solar insolation. This setup favors strong daytime heating with limited cloud cover and suppressed convection from the Intertropical Convergence Zone, pushing maximum temperatures into the upper 32–35 °C range at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport. Historical May climatology shows average daily highs of 31–34 °C in the tropical lowland environment, providing a warm baseline that reinforces the market-implied 70 % probability for the 33 °C or higher outcome. Any increase in morning cloudiness or earlier shower development could cap readings at 32 °C, yet current model consensus and light northwest winds support the leading probability. Hourly METAR observations through the afternoon will confirm the final maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,745วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF models indicates Panama City will likely reach or exceed 33 °C on May 17 under a dry continental air mass advected from northern Central America combined with peak May solar insolation. This setup favors strong daytime heating with limited cloud cover and suppressed convection from the Intertropical Convergence Zone, pushing maximum temperatures into the upper 32–35 °C range at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport. Historical May climatology shows average daily highs of 31–34 °C in the tropical lowland environment, providing a warm baseline that reinforces the market-implied 70 % probability for the 33 °C or higher outcome. Any increase in morning cloudiness or earlier shower development could cap readings at 32 °C, yet current model consensus and light northwest winds support the leading probability. Hourly METAR observations through the afternoon will confirm the final maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,745วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGLatest ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF models indicates Panama City will likely reach or exceed 33 °C on May 17 under a dry continental air mass advected from northern Central America combined with peak May solar insolation. This setup favors strong daytime heating with limited cloud cover and suppressed convection from the Intertropical Convergence Zone, pushing maximum temperatures into the upper 32–35 °C range at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport. Historical May climatology shows average daily highs of 31–34 °C in the tropical lowland environment, providing a warm baseline that reinforces the market-implied 70 % probability for the 33 °C or higher outcome. Any increase in morning cloudiness or earlier shower development could cap readings at 32 °C, yet current model consensus and light northwest winds support the leading probability. Hourly METAR observations through the afternoon will confirm the final maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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