Trader consensus for a 26°C or higher maximum in Mexico City on May 17 reflects current Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and AccuWeather forecasts projecting 27–29°C under mostly sunny skies and high-pressure dominance. These align with May climatology at Benito Juárez International Airport, where average highs reach 26°C and daily peaks below 23°C are uncommon. Recent observations from May 14–15 recorded 26–29°C, supporting the market-implied 94.3% probability for the leading outcome. Key variables include potential afternoon convection, with some models indicating isolated showers that could briefly limit solar heating, though consensus deems widespread cloud cover unlikely. Final hourly temperature readings will resolve the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 17?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 17?
26°C or higher 94.6%
25°C 3.0%
24°C 1.6%
23°C <1%
ใหม่
$14,272 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$14,272 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
95%
26°C or higher 94.6%
25°C 3.0%
24°C 1.6%
23°C <1%
ใหม่
$14,272 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$14,272 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
16°C or below
$1,256 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$2,148 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$1,934 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$3,159 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$827 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$1,133 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$993 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$547 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$702 ปริมาณ
2%
25°C
$899 ปริมาณ
3%
26°C or higher
$674 ปริมาณ
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus for a 26°C or higher maximum in Mexico City on May 17 reflects current Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and AccuWeather forecasts projecting 27–29°C under mostly sunny skies and high-pressure dominance. These align with May climatology at Benito Juárez International Airport, where average highs reach 26°C and daily peaks below 23°C are uncommon. Recent observations from May 14–15 recorded 26–29°C, supporting the market-implied 94.3% probability for the leading outcome. Key variables include potential afternoon convection, with some models indicating isolated showers that could briefly limit solar heating, though consensus deems widespread cloud cover unlikely. Final hourly temperature readings will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,272วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus for a 26°C or higher maximum in Mexico City on May 17 reflects current Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and AccuWeather forecasts projecting 27–29°C under mostly sunny skies and high-pressure dominance. These align with May climatology at Benito Juárez International Airport, where average highs reach 26°C and daily peaks below 23°C are uncommon. Recent observations from May 14–15 recorded 26–29°C, supporting the market-implied 94.3% probability for the leading outcome. Key variables include potential afternoon convection, with some models indicating isolated showers that could briefly limit solar heating, though consensus deems widespread cloud cover unlikely. Final hourly temperature readings will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,272วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXTrader consensus for a 26°C or higher maximum in Mexico City on May 17 reflects current Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and AccuWeather forecasts projecting 27–29°C under mostly sunny skies and high-pressure dominance. These align with May climatology at Benito Juárez International Airport, where average highs reach 26°C and daily peaks below 23°C are uncommon. Recent observations from May 14–15 recorded 26–29°C, supporting the market-implied 94.3% probability for the leading outcome. Key variables include potential afternoon convection, with some models indicating isolated showers that could briefly limit solar heating, though consensus deems widespread cloud cover unlikely. Final hourly temperature readings will resolve the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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