Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF show a tight spread in overnight minimum temperatures for Paris on May 18, with models projecting lows clustered between 7°C and 10°C under a variable spring air mass. Persistent cloud cover and light showers are limiting radiative cooling, while light southerly winds advect slightly milder air, keeping the lowest readings from dropping further. Minor differences in predicted cloud thickness, dew-point depression, and frontal timing across model runs explain why the 9°C and 8°C outcomes currently lead trader sentiment at 28% and 23.5% implied probability. A brief clearing window or stronger northerly flow could shift the minimum by 1–2°C either way before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on May 18?
Lowest temperature in Paris on May 18?
9°C 33%
8°C 27%
7°C 16.5%
10°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 18, 2026
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
4%
7°C
17%
8°C
27%
9°C
27%
10°C
9%
11°C
6%
12°C or higher
3%
9°C 33%
8°C 27%
7°C 16.5%
10°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 18, 2026
2°C or below
$62 ปริมาณ
<1%
3°C
$57 ปริมาณ
<1%
4°C
$25 ปริมาณ
1%
5°C
$40 ปริมาณ
1%
6°C
$56 ปริมาณ
4%
7°C
$95 ปริมาณ
17%
8°C
$22 ปริมาณ
27%
9°C
$95 ปริมาณ
27%
10°C
$52 ปริมาณ
9%
11°C
$26 ปริมาณ
6%
12°C or higher
$476 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF show a tight spread in overnight minimum temperatures for Paris on May 18, with models projecting lows clustered between 7°C and 10°C under a variable spring air mass. Persistent cloud cover and light showers are limiting radiative cooling, while light southerly winds advect slightly milder air, keeping the lowest readings from dropping further. Minor differences in predicted cloud thickness, dew-point depression, and frontal timing across model runs explain why the 9°C and 8°C outcomes currently lead trader sentiment at 28% and 23.5% implied probability. A brief clearing window or stronger northerly flow could shift the minimum by 1–2°C either way before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,007วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF show a tight spread in overnight minimum temperatures for Paris on May 18, with models projecting lows clustered between 7°C and 10°C under a variable spring air mass. Persistent cloud cover and light showers are limiting radiative cooling, while light southerly winds advect slightly milder air, keeping the lowest readings from dropping further. Minor differences in predicted cloud thickness, dew-point depression, and frontal timing across model runs explain why the 9°C and 8°C outcomes currently lead trader sentiment at 28% and 23.5% implied probability. A brief clearing window or stronger northerly flow could shift the minimum by 1–2°C either way before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,007วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBRecent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF show a tight spread in overnight minimum temperatures for Paris on May 18, with models projecting lows clustered between 7°C and 10°C under a variable spring air mass. Persistent cloud cover and light showers are limiting radiative cooling, while light southerly winds advect slightly milder air, keeping the lowest readings from dropping further. Minor differences in predicted cloud thickness, dew-point depression, and frontal timing across model runs explain why the 9°C and 8°C outcomes currently lead trader sentiment at 28% and 23.5% implied probability. A brief clearing window or stronger northerly flow could shift the minimum by 1–2°C either way before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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