National Weather Service forecasts point to a Miami overnight low around 74°F on May 15, propelled by persistent high dewpoints near 73°F and light southwest winds around 6-10 mph that limit radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, positioning the 74-75°F outcome at 35.5% market-implied probability. Recent observations from May 13 climate data show similar humid conditions with highs in the upper 80s°F, aligning model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs that indicate minimal temperature drops overnight. Compared to May climatological averages of 76-77°F lows, the current upper-level ridge and sea breeze convergence suppress deeper cooling, though isolated showers could tweak the minimum. Traders await final NWS hourly updates this evening for potential shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Miami on May 15?
Lowest temperature in Miami on May 15?
74-75°F 34%
76-77°F 19%
78-79°F 17.5%
72-73°F 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 15, 2026
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
16%
74-75°F
34%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 34%
76-77°F 19%
78-79°F 17.5%
72-73°F 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 15, 2026
67°F or below
$227 ปริมาณ
1%
68-69°F
$69 ปริมาณ
1%
70-71°F
$158 ปริมาณ
4%
72-73°F
$122 ปริมาณ
16%
74-75°F
$135 ปริมาณ
34%
76-77°F
$181 ปริมาณ
19%
78-79°F
$210 ปริมาณ
18%
80-81°F
$63 ปริมาณ
1%
82-83°F
$248 ปริมาณ
1%
84-85°F
$902 ปริมาณ
1%
86°F or higher
$3,414 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts point to a Miami overnight low around 74°F on May 15, propelled by persistent high dewpoints near 73°F and light southwest winds around 6-10 mph that limit radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, positioning the 74-75°F outcome at 35.5% market-implied probability. Recent observations from May 13 climate data show similar humid conditions with highs in the upper 80s°F, aligning model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs that indicate minimal temperature drops overnight. Compared to May climatological averages of 76-77°F lows, the current upper-level ridge and sea breeze convergence suppress deeper cooling, though isolated showers could tweak the minimum. Traders await final NWS hourly updates this evening for potential shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,724วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts point to a Miami overnight low around 74°F on May 15, propelled by persistent high dewpoints near 73°F and light southwest winds around 6-10 mph that limit radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, positioning the 74-75°F outcome at 35.5% market-implied probability. Recent observations from May 13 climate data show similar humid conditions with highs in the upper 80s°F, aligning model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs that indicate minimal temperature drops overnight. Compared to May climatological averages of 76-77°F lows, the current upper-level ridge and sea breeze convergence suppress deeper cooling, though isolated showers could tweak the minimum. Traders await final NWS hourly updates this evening for potential shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,724วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts point to a Miami overnight low around 74°F on May 15, propelled by persistent high dewpoints near 73°F and light southwest winds around 6-10 mph that limit radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, positioning the 74-75°F outcome at 35.5% market-implied probability. Recent observations from May 13 climate data show similar humid conditions with highs in the upper 80s°F, aligning model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs that indicate minimal temperature drops overnight. Compared to May climatological averages of 76-77°F lows, the current upper-level ridge and sea breeze convergence suppress deeper cooling, though isolated showers could tweak the minimum. Traders await final NWS hourly updates this evening for potential shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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