Environment Canada’s latest forecast, issued May 14 for Toronto Pearson International Airport, projects a sunny high of 23°C on May 17 amid a warming trend from early-week cool, cloudy conditions with highs near 10–19°C. Trader consensus reflects this with 22% implied probability on exactly 23°C, but prices 29% odds for 27°C or higher due to ensemble spread in GFS and ECMWF models showing potential upper-ridge strengthening and persistent southerly flow overriding typical Lake Ontario moderation. Key differentiators include cloud cover evolution from possible Saturday showers, wind direction shifts, and urban heat effects versus airport readings; new 00z/12z model runs today could sharpen probabilities as resolution approaches in 48 hours. Historical May 17 highs average 20°C, underscoring spring variability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Toronto on May 17?
Highest temperature in Toronto on May 17?
22°C 31%
23°C 30%
24°C 21%
21°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 17, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
10%
22°C
28%
23°C
30%
24°C
21%
25°C
7%
26°C
4%
27°C or higher
1%
22°C 31%
23°C 30%
24°C 21%
21°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 17, 2026
17°C or below
$595 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$604 ปริมาณ
1%
19°C
$205 ปริมาณ
1%
20°C
$37 ปริมาณ
4%
21°C
$179 ปริมาณ
10%
22°C
$148 ปริมาณ
28%
23°C
$181 ปริมาณ
30%
24°C
$125 ปริมาณ
21%
25°C
$156 ปริมาณ
7%
26°C
$134 ปริมาณ
4%
27°C or higher
$233 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada’s latest forecast, issued May 14 for Toronto Pearson International Airport, projects a sunny high of 23°C on May 17 amid a warming trend from early-week cool, cloudy conditions with highs near 10–19°C. Trader consensus reflects this with 22% implied probability on exactly 23°C, but prices 29% odds for 27°C or higher due to ensemble spread in GFS and ECMWF models showing potential upper-ridge strengthening and persistent southerly flow overriding typical Lake Ontario moderation. Key differentiators include cloud cover evolution from possible Saturday showers, wind direction shifts, and urban heat effects versus airport readings; new 00z/12z model runs today could sharpen probabilities as resolution approaches in 48 hours. Historical May 17 highs average 20°C, underscoring spring variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,582วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada’s latest forecast, issued May 14 for Toronto Pearson International Airport, projects a sunny high of 23°C on May 17 amid a warming trend from early-week cool, cloudy conditions with highs near 10–19°C. Trader consensus reflects this with 22% implied probability on exactly 23°C, but prices 29% odds for 27°C or higher due to ensemble spread in GFS and ECMWF models showing potential upper-ridge strengthening and persistent southerly flow overriding typical Lake Ontario moderation. Key differentiators include cloud cover evolution from possible Saturday showers, wind direction shifts, and urban heat effects versus airport readings; new 00z/12z model runs today could sharpen probabilities as resolution approaches in 48 hours. Historical May 17 highs average 20°C, underscoring spring variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,582วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZEnvironment Canada’s latest forecast, issued May 14 for Toronto Pearson International Airport, projects a sunny high of 23°C on May 17 amid a warming trend from early-week cool, cloudy conditions with highs near 10–19°C. Trader consensus reflects this with 22% implied probability on exactly 23°C, but prices 29% odds for 27°C or higher due to ensemble spread in GFS and ECMWF models showing potential upper-ridge strengthening and persistent southerly flow overriding typical Lake Ontario moderation. Key differentiators include cloud cover evolution from possible Saturday showers, wind direction shifts, and urban heat effects versus airport readings; new 00z/12z model runs today could sharpen probabilities as resolution approaches in 48 hours. Historical May 17 highs average 20°C, underscoring spring variability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย