Latest China Meteorological Administration and global model ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) project Beijing's May 17 highest temperature near 20–23°C, with trader consensus mirroring this tight spread amid a weak cold front ushering northerly winds, light rain, and persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. Over the past 48 hours, temperatures have cooled from mid-30s peaks earlier in the week as a trough deepens over northern China, overriding May's climatological average high of ~27°C. Key differentiators include frontal timing—earlier clearing favors 22–23°C, while prolonged overcast pushes toward 17–19°C—and surface wind shear mixing cooler boundary layer air. New 12Z model runs expected today could sharpen these odds before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Beijing on May 17?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 17?
20°C 29%
21°C 27%
19°C 22%
18°C 14.0%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
5%
18°C
14%
19°C
22%
20°C
29%
21°C
27%
22°C
5%
23°C or higher
3%
20°C 29%
21°C 27%
19°C 22%
18°C 14.0%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
$290 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$310 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$265 ปริมาณ
1%
16°C
$65 ปริมาณ
3%
17°C
$110 ปริมาณ
5%
18°C
$108 ปริมาณ
14%
19°C
$51 ปริมาณ
22%
20°C
$42 ปริมาณ
29%
21°C
$34 ปริมาณ
27%
22°C
$241 ปริมาณ
5%
23°C or higher
$78 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration and global model ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) project Beijing's May 17 highest temperature near 20–23°C, with trader consensus mirroring this tight spread amid a weak cold front ushering northerly winds, light rain, and persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. Over the past 48 hours, temperatures have cooled from mid-30s peaks earlier in the week as a trough deepens over northern China, overriding May's climatological average high of ~27°C. Key differentiators include frontal timing—earlier clearing favors 22–23°C, while prolonged overcast pushes toward 17–19°C—and surface wind shear mixing cooler boundary layer air. New 12Z model runs expected today could sharpen these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,582วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration and global model ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) project Beijing's May 17 highest temperature near 20–23°C, with trader consensus mirroring this tight spread amid a weak cold front ushering northerly winds, light rain, and persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. Over the past 48 hours, temperatures have cooled from mid-30s peaks earlier in the week as a trough deepens over northern China, overriding May's climatological average high of ~27°C. Key differentiators include frontal timing—earlier clearing favors 22–23°C, while prolonged overcast pushes toward 17–19°C—and surface wind shear mixing cooler boundary layer air. New 12Z model runs expected today could sharpen these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,582วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAALatest China Meteorological Administration and global model ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) project Beijing's May 17 highest temperature near 20–23°C, with trader consensus mirroring this tight spread amid a weak cold front ushering northerly winds, light rain, and persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. Over the past 48 hours, temperatures have cooled from mid-30s peaks earlier in the week as a trough deepens over northern China, overriding May's climatological average high of ~27°C. Key differentiators include frontal timing—earlier clearing favors 22–23°C, while prolonged overcast pushes toward 17–19°C—and surface wind shear mixing cooler boundary layer air. New 12Z model runs expected today could sharpen these odds before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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