Traders have placed overwhelming confidence in a 22°C high for Chongqing on May 16, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration showing a stable high-pressure ridge suppressing daytime warming. Mid-May climatology in the region typically supports highs near 25°C, yet current steering patterns and overnight radiative cooling have kept surface temperatures tightly constrained around this level. Official resolution relies on the 20:00 local observation at the primary station, where model spread remains minimal. Only an abrupt shift in the subtropical ridge or unforecast convective heating—scenarios assigned low probability by guidance—could realistically push the peak above 22°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 16?
22°C 99.6%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
21°C <1%
$47,580 ปริมาณ
$47,580 ปริมาณ
21°C
<1%
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
22°C 99.6%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
21°C <1%
$47,580 ปริมาณ
$47,580 ปริมาณ
21°C
<1%
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 14, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ช่วงเวลาคัดค้าน
สิ้นสุด
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ช่วงเวลาคัดค้าน
สิ้นสุด
Traders have placed overwhelming confidence in a 22°C high for Chongqing on May 16, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration showing a stable high-pressure ridge suppressing daytime warming. Mid-May climatology in the region typically supports highs near 25°C, yet current steering patterns and overnight radiative cooling have kept surface temperatures tightly constrained around this level. Official resolution relies on the 20:00 local observation at the primary station, where model spread remains minimal. Only an abrupt shift in the subtropical ridge or unforecast convective heating—scenarios assigned low probability by guidance—could realistically push the peak above 22°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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