Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in official forecasts for London's lowest temperature on May 17, with Met Office guidance centering on a 9°C nighttime minimum amid extensive cloud cover, light showers, and light westerly winds of 6-9 mph that limit radiational cooling. This positions 12°C or higher (24%) slightly ahead of 9°C (20.5%), as variable overnight cloudiness—potentially thinning for brief clear spells—could suppress lows to 10-11°C or allow a drop toward 7-8°C if showers clear earlier. High humidity near 90% overnight further tempers extremes, aligning with typical mid-May climatology (historical average ~9°C at Heathrow). New model runs from UKMO and ECMWF expected today may sharpen the outlook ahead of resolution based on official observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on May 17?
Lowest temperature in London on May 17?
11°C 21%
9°C 20%
10°C 19%
12°C or higher 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 17, 2026
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
3%
8°C
2%
9°C
20%
10°C
25%
11°C
18%
12°C or higher
11%
11°C 21%
9°C 20%
10°C 19%
12°C or higher 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 17, 2026
2°C or below
$64 ปริมาณ
<1%
3°C
$231 ปริมาณ
<1%
4°C
$95 ปริมาณ
1%
5°C
$101 ปริมาณ
1%
6°C
$237 ปริมาณ
1%
7°C
$209 ปริมาณ
3%
8°C
$147 ปริมาณ
2%
9°C
$37 ปริมาณ
20%
10°C
$65 ปริมาณ
25%
11°C
$36 ปริมาณ
18%
12°C or higher
$133 ปริมาณ
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in official forecasts for London's lowest temperature on May 17, with Met Office guidance centering on a 9°C nighttime minimum amid extensive cloud cover, light showers, and light westerly winds of 6-9 mph that limit radiational cooling. This positions 12°C or higher (24%) slightly ahead of 9°C (20.5%), as variable overnight cloudiness—potentially thinning for brief clear spells—could suppress lows to 10-11°C or allow a drop toward 7-8°C if showers clear earlier. High humidity near 90% overnight further tempers extremes, aligning with typical mid-May climatology (historical average ~9°C at Heathrow). New model runs from UKMO and ECMWF expected today may sharpen the outlook ahead of resolution based on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,357วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in official forecasts for London's lowest temperature on May 17, with Met Office guidance centering on a 9°C nighttime minimum amid extensive cloud cover, light showers, and light westerly winds of 6-9 mph that limit radiational cooling. This positions 12°C or higher (24%) slightly ahead of 9°C (20.5%), as variable overnight cloudiness—potentially thinning for brief clear spells—could suppress lows to 10-11°C or allow a drop toward 7-8°C if showers clear earlier. High humidity near 90% overnight further tempers extremes, aligning with typical mid-May climatology (historical average ~9°C at Heathrow). New model runs from UKMO and ECMWF expected today may sharpen the outlook ahead of resolution based on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,357วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in official forecasts for London's lowest temperature on May 17, with Met Office guidance centering on a 9°C nighttime minimum amid extensive cloud cover, light showers, and light westerly winds of 6-9 mph that limit radiational cooling. This positions 12°C or higher (24%) slightly ahead of 9°C (20.5%), as variable overnight cloudiness—potentially thinning for brief clear spells—could suppress lows to 10-11°C or allow a drop toward 7-8°C if showers clear earlier. High humidity near 90% overnight further tempers extremes, aligning with typical mid-May climatology (historical average ~9°C at Heathrow). New model runs from UKMO and ECMWF expected today may sharpen the outlook ahead of resolution based on official observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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