Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 7°C low in London on May 15, aligning precisely with the Met Office's latest forecast update from early this morning, which projects a nighttime minimum of 7°C under cloudy skies with light showers and gentle breezes. Persistent low pressure dominating the UK over the past week has delivered cooler-than-average May conditions, suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling through extensive cloud cover that traps heat near the surface—preventing the sharper drops seen in clearer skies. Model ensembles from the Met Office show little divergence, with highs around 14°C and no signals for sub-6°C temps absent unexpected clearing. Urban heat island effects in London further buffer lows, while ongoing observations from Heathrow will refine probabilities as the evening unfolds. Historical May averages hover near 8°C, contextualizing this as mildly chilly but unremarkable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on May 15?
Lowest temperature in London on May 15?
7°C 98.1%
6°C 1.4%
3°C <1%
2°C <1%
$14,275 ปริมาณ
$14,275 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
-1°C or below
<1%
0°C
<1%
1°C
<1%
2°C
1%
3°C
1%
4°C
1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
98%
8°C
<1%
7°C 98.1%
6°C 1.4%
3°C <1%
2°C <1%
$14,275 ปริมาณ
$14,275 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
-1°C or below
$1,378 ปริมาณ
<1%
0°C
$216 ปริมาณ
<1%
1°C
$381 ปริมาณ
<1%
2°C
$872 ปริมาณ
1%
3°C
$688 ปริมาณ
1%
4°C
$232 ปริมาณ
1%
5°C
$688 ปริมาณ
<1%
6°C
$735 ปริมาณ
1%
7°C
$1,179 ปริมาณ
98%
8°C
$3,771 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 7°C low in London on May 15, aligning precisely with the Met Office's latest forecast update from early this morning, which projects a nighttime minimum of 7°C under cloudy skies with light showers and gentle breezes. Persistent low pressure dominating the UK over the past week has delivered cooler-than-average May conditions, suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling through extensive cloud cover that traps heat near the surface—preventing the sharper drops seen in clearer skies. Model ensembles from the Met Office show little divergence, with highs around 14°C and no signals for sub-6°C temps absent unexpected clearing. Urban heat island effects in London further buffer lows, while ongoing observations from Heathrow will refine probabilities as the evening unfolds. Historical May averages hover near 8°C, contextualizing this as mildly chilly but unremarkable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 11, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,275วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 11, 2026, 7:06 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 7°C low in London on May 15, aligning precisely with the Met Office's latest forecast update from early this morning, which projects a nighttime minimum of 7°C under cloudy skies with light showers and gentle breezes. Persistent low pressure dominating the UK over the past week has delivered cooler-than-average May conditions, suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling through extensive cloud cover that traps heat near the surface—preventing the sharper drops seen in clearer skies. Model ensembles from the Met Office show little divergence, with highs around 14°C and no signals for sub-6°C temps absent unexpected clearing. Urban heat island effects in London further buffer lows, while ongoing observations from Heathrow will refine probabilities as the evening unfolds. Historical May averages hover near 8°C, contextualizing this as mildly chilly but unremarkable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,275วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 11, 2026, 7:06 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 7°C low in London on May 15, aligning precisely with the Met Office's latest forecast update from early this morning, which projects a nighttime minimum of 7°C under cloudy skies with light showers and gentle breezes. Persistent low pressure dominating the UK over the past week has delivered cooler-than-average May conditions, suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling through extensive cloud cover that traps heat near the surface—preventing the sharper drops seen in clearer skies. Model ensembles from the Met Office show little divergence, with highs around 14°C and no signals for sub-6°C temps absent unexpected clearing. Urban heat island effects in London further buffer lows, while ongoing observations from Heathrow will refine probabilities as the evening unfolds. Historical May averages hover near 8°C, contextualizing this as mildly chilly but unremarkable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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