Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate a high near 27–29 °C for Moscow on May 18, driven by a transient ridge of high pressure that favors clear skies and daytime heating while limiting cloud cover and precipitation. Ensemble models show modest spread due to variable southeasterly flow and potential for localized afternoon convection, keeping the probability of exceeding 30 °C or falling below 26 °C relatively low. This positioning aligns with climatological mid-May averages of 18–22 °C but reflects current above-normal warmth from recent continental air advection. Updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum and determine resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on May 18?
29°C 25%
27°C 19%
28°C 19%
30°C 15%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
19%
28°C
19%
29°C
23%
30°C
15%
31°C or higher
15%
29°C 25%
27°C 19%
28°C 19%
30°C 15%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
19%
28°C
19%
29°C
23%
30°C
15%
31°C or higher
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate a high near 27–29 °C for Moscow on May 18, driven by a transient ridge of high pressure that favors clear skies and daytime heating while limiting cloud cover and precipitation. Ensemble models show modest spread due to variable southeasterly flow and potential for localized afternoon convection, keeping the probability of exceeding 30 °C or falling below 26 °C relatively low. This positioning aligns with climatological mid-May averages of 18–22 °C but reflects current above-normal warmth from recent continental air advection. Updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum and determine resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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