National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) point to a high near 56°F today under mostly cloudy skies with 40-50% rain chances, driving the 95.7% market-implied probability for 57°F or below. This reflects a sharp cooldown from the record 82°F on May 12, as a marine-influenced air mass and persistent low clouds suppress daytime heating, per NOAA model consensus including GFS and ECMWF runs showing limited insolation. Recent observations confirm steady temperatures around the mid-50s amid southwest winds. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing or reduced precipitation allowing solar warming to nudge highs into the upper 50s, though current trends and climatological May baselines around 63°F make this low-likelihood amid the active weather pattern. Hourly updates from KSEA will refine the outlook through evening.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seattle on May 15?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 15?
57°F or below 95.0%
58-59°F 1.9%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
ใหม่
$23,977 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$23,977 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
57°F or below
95%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F or higher
<1%
57°F or below 95.0%
58-59°F 1.9%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
ใหม่
$23,977 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$23,977 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
57°F or below
$2,965 ปริมาณ
95%
58-59°F
$4,234 ปริมาณ
2%
60-61°F
$3,954 ปริมาณ
1%
62-63°F
$1,867 ปริมาณ
<1%
64-65°F
$1,527 ปริมาณ
<1%
66-67°F
$2,033 ปริมาณ
<1%
68-69°F
$2,143 ปริมาณ
<1%
70-71°F
$1,382 ปริมาณ
<1%
72-73°F
$1,509 ปริมาณ
<1%
74-75°F
$1,499 ปริมาณ
<1%
76°F or higher
$891 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) point to a high near 56°F today under mostly cloudy skies with 40-50% rain chances, driving the 95.7% market-implied probability for 57°F or below. This reflects a sharp cooldown from the record 82°F on May 12, as a marine-influenced air mass and persistent low clouds suppress daytime heating, per NOAA model consensus including GFS and ECMWF runs showing limited insolation. Recent observations confirm steady temperatures around the mid-50s amid southwest winds. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing or reduced precipitation allowing solar warming to nudge highs into the upper 50s, though current trends and climatological May baselines around 63°F make this low-likelihood amid the active weather pattern. Hourly updates from KSEA will refine the outlook through evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,977วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) point to a high near 56°F today under mostly cloudy skies with 40-50% rain chances, driving the 95.7% market-implied probability for 57°F or below. This reflects a sharp cooldown from the record 82°F on May 12, as a marine-influenced air mass and persistent low clouds suppress daytime heating, per NOAA model consensus including GFS and ECMWF runs showing limited insolation. Recent observations confirm steady temperatures around the mid-50s amid southwest winds. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing or reduced precipitation allowing solar warming to nudge highs into the upper 50s, though current trends and climatological May baselines around 63°F make this low-likelihood amid the active weather pattern. Hourly updates from KSEA will refine the outlook through evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,977วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) point to a high near 56°F today under mostly cloudy skies with 40-50% rain chances, driving the 95.7% market-implied probability for 57°F or below. This reflects a sharp cooldown from the record 82°F on May 12, as a marine-influenced air mass and persistent low clouds suppress daytime heating, per NOAA model consensus including GFS and ECMWF runs showing limited insolation. Recent observations confirm steady temperatures around the mid-50s amid southwest winds. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing or reduced precipitation allowing solar warming to nudge highs into the upper 50s, though current trends and climatological May baselines around 63°F make this low-likelihood amid the active weather pattern. Hourly updates from KSEA will refine the outlook through evening.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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