National Weather Service forecasts and short-range model consensus now favor a high near 90–93 °F in Austin on May 18, driven by strong southerly flow ahead of a weak trough, mostly sunny skies, and downslope warming off the Edwards Plateau. This setup has lifted 90 °F or higher to 73.5 % implied probability, well above the late-May climatological average of 88–90 °F. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with only modest cloud or moisture increases expected to cap readings in the upper 80s. Afternoon NWS updates and the 12Z model runs will provide the final data points traders are watching before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Austin on May 18?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 18?
90°F or higher 82%
88-89°F 19%
86-87°F 10%
84-85°F 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 18, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
10%
88-89°F
19%
90°F or higher
74%
90°F or higher 82%
88-89°F 19%
86-87°F 10%
84-85°F 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 18, 2026
71°F or below
$364 ปริมาณ
<1%
72-73°F
$677 ปริมาณ
<1%
74-75°F
$677 ปริมาณ
<1%
76-77°F
$547 ปริมาณ
<1%
78-79°F
$277 ปริมาณ
1%
80-81°F
$81 ปริมาณ
1%
82-83°F
$6 ปริมาณ
2%
84-85°F
$14 ปริมาณ
5%
86-87°F
$6 ปริมาณ
10%
88-89°F
$40 ปริมาณ
19%
90°F or higher
$87 ปริมาณ
74%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and short-range model consensus now favor a high near 90–93 °F in Austin on May 18, driven by strong southerly flow ahead of a weak trough, mostly sunny skies, and downslope warming off the Edwards Plateau. This setup has lifted 90 °F or higher to 73.5 % implied probability, well above the late-May climatological average of 88–90 °F. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with only modest cloud or moisture increases expected to cap readings in the upper 80s. Afternoon NWS updates and the 12Z model runs will provide the final data points traders are watching before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,766วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and short-range model consensus now favor a high near 90–93 °F in Austin on May 18, driven by strong southerly flow ahead of a weak trough, mostly sunny skies, and downslope warming off the Edwards Plateau. This setup has lifted 90 °F or higher to 73.5 % implied probability, well above the late-May climatological average of 88–90 °F. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with only modest cloud or moisture increases expected to cap readings in the upper 80s. Afternoon NWS updates and the 12Z model runs will provide the final data points traders are watching before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,766วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSNational Weather Service forecasts and short-range model consensus now favor a high near 90–93 °F in Austin on May 18, driven by strong southerly flow ahead of a weak trough, mostly sunny skies, and downslope warming off the Edwards Plateau. This setup has lifted 90 °F or higher to 73.5 % implied probability, well above the late-May climatological average of 88–90 °F. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with only modest cloud or moisture increases expected to cap readings in the upper 80s. Afternoon NWS updates and the 12Z model runs will provide the final data points traders are watching before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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