Trader consensus on Polymarket, with market-implied odds peaking at 28.5% for 16°C, reflects the UK Met Office's latest forecast of a 17°C maximum in London on May 17 amid persistent cloud cover and light morning showers easing later, capping diurnal heating. Recent days saw highs of 14-16°C under cool northerly airflow and unstable conditions, but a slight shift to westerly winds introduces marginal warming potential. Key differentiators include cloud thickness—thicker overcast favors 15°C outcomes, while breaks could boost to 18-20°C—and shower coverage, per ECMWF and GFS ensemble spreads. Historical mid-May averages hover around 16-17°C at Heathrow, the likely resolution site. Watch 06Z/12Z model updates Saturday for shifts ahead of the event.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in London on May 17?
Highest temperature in London on May 17?
16°C 35%
15°C 27%
17°C 22%
14°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
10%
15°C
27%
16°C
35%
17°C
22%
18°C
8%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
16°C 35%
15°C 27%
17°C 22%
14°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
$548 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$380 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$353 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$269 ปริมาณ
2%
14°C
$381 ปริมาณ
10%
15°C
$323 ปริมาณ
27%
16°C
$199 ปริมาณ
35%
17°C
$292 ปริมาณ
22%
18°C
$263 ปริมาณ
8%
19°C
$268 ปริมาณ
1%
20°C or higher
$365 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket, with market-implied odds peaking at 28.5% for 16°C, reflects the UK Met Office's latest forecast of a 17°C maximum in London on May 17 amid persistent cloud cover and light morning showers easing later, capping diurnal heating. Recent days saw highs of 14-16°C under cool northerly airflow and unstable conditions, but a slight shift to westerly winds introduces marginal warming potential. Key differentiators include cloud thickness—thicker overcast favors 15°C outcomes, while breaks could boost to 18-20°C—and shower coverage, per ECMWF and GFS ensemble spreads. Historical mid-May averages hover around 16-17°C at Heathrow, the likely resolution site. Watch 06Z/12Z model updates Saturday for shifts ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,642วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket, with market-implied odds peaking at 28.5% for 16°C, reflects the UK Met Office's latest forecast of a 17°C maximum in London on May 17 amid persistent cloud cover and light morning showers easing later, capping diurnal heating. Recent days saw highs of 14-16°C under cool northerly airflow and unstable conditions, but a slight shift to westerly winds introduces marginal warming potential. Key differentiators include cloud thickness—thicker overcast favors 15°C outcomes, while breaks could boost to 18-20°C—and shower coverage, per ECMWF and GFS ensemble spreads. Historical mid-May averages hover around 16-17°C at Heathrow, the likely resolution site. Watch 06Z/12Z model updates Saturday for shifts ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,642วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCTrader consensus on Polymarket, with market-implied odds peaking at 28.5% for 16°C, reflects the UK Met Office's latest forecast of a 17°C maximum in London on May 17 amid persistent cloud cover and light morning showers easing later, capping diurnal heating. Recent days saw highs of 14-16°C under cool northerly airflow and unstable conditions, but a slight shift to westerly winds introduces marginal warming potential. Key differentiators include cloud thickness—thicker overcast favors 15°C outcomes, while breaks could boost to 18-20°C—and shower coverage, per ECMWF and GFS ensemble spreads. Historical mid-May averages hover around 16-17°C at Heathrow, the likely resolution site. Watch 06Z/12Z model updates Saturday for shifts ahead of the event.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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