The market's clustering around 18–21°C outcomes aligns with the latest numerical weather prediction consensus from global and regional models, which project a daytime high of 19–20°C for Ankara on May 17. A stable high-pressure ridge over central Anatolia is limiting daytime heating, with increased afternoon cloud cover and a northerly flow suppressing temperatures below the May climatological average of 22°C. Recent model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show only modest diurnal warming, with surface observations from Esenboğa Airport confirming cooler-than-normal conditions persisting into the forecast period. Traders appear focused on these near-term variables, as minor shifts in cloud thickness or wind direction could still nudge the peak within the narrow 18–21°C window before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Ankara on May 17?
19°C 39%
20°C 26%
18°C 21%
21°C 14%
$13,093 ปริมาณ
$13,093 ปริมาณ
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
21%
19°C
39%
20°C
26%
21°C
14%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 39%
20°C 26%
18°C 21%
21°C 14%
$13,093 ปริมาณ
$13,093 ปริมาณ
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
21%
19°C
39%
20°C
26%
21°C
14%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACThe market's clustering around 18–21°C outcomes aligns with the latest numerical weather prediction consensus from global and regional models, which project a daytime high of 19–20°C for Ankara on May 17. A stable high-pressure ridge over central Anatolia is limiting daytime heating, with increased afternoon cloud cover and a northerly flow suppressing temperatures below the May climatological average of 22°C. Recent model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show only modest diurnal warming, with surface observations from Esenboğa Airport confirming cooler-than-normal conditions persisting into the forecast period. Traders appear focused on these near-term variables, as minor shifts in cloud thickness or wind direction could still nudge the peak within the narrow 18–21°C window before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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