Official observational data from the Warsaw Chopin Airport meteorological station, Poland's primary reference for such markets, recorded a maximum temperature of 12°C on May 13, locking in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) frost warnings during a mid-May cold snap—"zimni ogrodnicy"—featuring northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and overnight lows near freezing that capped daytime highs. Model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS converged on subdued temperatures in final advisories, reflecting upper-level troughing over Central Europe. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-processing revisions for sensor anomalies, though quality-controlled data from established stations rarely shifts beyond 0.5°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Warsaw on May 13?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 13?
12°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$65,355 ปริมาณ
$65,355 ปริมาณ
May 13, 2026
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$65,355 ปริมาณ
$65,355 ปริมาณ
May 13, 2026
7°C or below
$811 ปริมาณ
No
8°C
$1,103 ปริมาณ
No
9°C
$4,949 ปริมาณ
No
10°C
$4,755 ปริมาณ
No
11°C
$7,185 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$11,462 ปริมาณ
Yes
13°C
$9,016 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$7,065 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$7,058 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$5,783 ปริมาณ
No
17°C or higher
$6,167 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from the Warsaw Chopin Airport meteorological station, Poland's primary reference for such markets, recorded a maximum temperature of 12°C on May 13, locking in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) frost warnings during a mid-May cold snap—"zimni ogrodnicy"—featuring northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and overnight lows near freezing that capped daytime highs. Model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS converged on subdued temperatures in final advisories, reflecting upper-level troughing over Central Europe. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-processing revisions for sensor anomalies, though quality-controlled data from established stations rarely shifts beyond 0.5°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 11, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$65,355วันสิ้นสุด
May 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 11, 2026, 12:44 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from the Warsaw Chopin Airport meteorological station, Poland's primary reference for such markets, recorded a maximum temperature of 12°C on May 13, locking in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) frost warnings during a mid-May cold snap—"zimni ogrodnicy"—featuring northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and overnight lows near freezing that capped daytime highs. Model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS converged on subdued temperatures in final advisories, reflecting upper-level troughing over Central Europe. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-processing revisions for sensor anomalies, though quality-controlled data from established stations rarely shifts beyond 0.5°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$65,355วันสิ้นสุด
May 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 11, 2026, 12:44 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official observational data from the Warsaw Chopin Airport meteorological station, Poland's primary reference for such markets, recorded a maximum temperature of 12°C on May 13, locking in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) frost warnings during a mid-May cold snap—"zimni ogrodnicy"—featuring northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and overnight lows near freezing that capped daytime highs. Model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS converged on subdued temperatures in final advisories, reflecting upper-level troughing over Central Europe. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-processing revisions for sensor anomalies, though quality-controlled data from established stations rarely shifts beyond 0.5°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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