Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain 100% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on May 13 at 27°C, backed by observational data from NOAA at Ben Gurion International Airport (LLBG) showing a peak reading of 27°C amid a sharp post-Sharav cooldown. The Israel Meteorological Service forecast predicted a high near 26°C following May 12's inland highs exceeding 32°C, driven by northerly winds ushering cooler continental air and strengthening sea breezes along the coast, which cap afternoon heating per GFS and ECMWF model ensembles averaging 26.5°C. With sunset approaching and stable partly cloudy conditions, further intensification is unlikely, though a rare delayed onshore flow relaxation could marginally challenge this by nudging toward 28°C before data finalization.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 13?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 13?
27°C 100.0%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
30°C or higher <1%
$82,184 ปริมาณ
$82,184 ปริมาณ
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
30°C or higher <1%
$82,184 ปริมาณ
$82,184 ปริมาณ
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 11, 2026, 1:20 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain 100% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on May 13 at 27°C, backed by observational data from NOAA at Ben Gurion International Airport (LLBG) showing a peak reading of 27°C amid a sharp post-Sharav cooldown. The Israel Meteorological Service forecast predicted a high near 26°C following May 12's inland highs exceeding 32°C, driven by northerly winds ushering cooler continental air and strengthening sea breezes along the coast, which cap afternoon heating per GFS and ECMWF model ensembles averaging 26.5°C. With sunset approaching and stable partly cloudy conditions, further intensification is unlikely, though a rare delayed onshore flow relaxation could marginally challenge this by nudging toward 28°C before data finalization.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย