Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 95% probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching 32°C or higher today, backed by the Israel Meteorological Service forecast of coastal highs up to 32°C and AccuWeather models peaking near 34°C at Ben Gurion International Airport—the NOAA-monitored resolution site—under a persistent high-pressure ridge driving subsidence that warms air through compression and ensures clear skies for peak solar insolation. Global models like ECMWF and GFS show tight agreement around 30–32°C, extending a short heatwave after May 12's near-31°C readings and Health Ministry heat stress alerts, well above May's typical 27°C average. Realistic challenges include intensified sea breezes introducing cooler marine air or unexpected low clouds, potentially capping peaks at 30–31°C; intraday observations and overnight model updates will clarify before evening resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 14?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 14?
32°C or higher 97.2%
31°C 2.3%
30°C <1%
$26,498 ปริมาณ
$26,498 ปริมาณ
May 14, 2026
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
97%
32°C or higher 97.2%
31°C 2.3%
30°C <1%
$26,498 ปริมาณ
$26,498 ปริมาณ
May 14, 2026
30°C
$3,284 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$3,551 ปริมาณ
2%
32°C or higher
$3,027 ปริมาณ
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 95% probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching 32°C or higher today, backed by the Israel Meteorological Service forecast of coastal highs up to 32°C and AccuWeather models peaking near 34°C at Ben Gurion International Airport—the NOAA-monitored resolution site—under a persistent high-pressure ridge driving subsidence that warms air through compression and ensures clear skies for peak solar insolation. Global models like ECMWF and GFS show tight agreement around 30–32°C, extending a short heatwave after May 12's near-31°C readings and Health Ministry heat stress alerts, well above May's typical 27°C average. Realistic challenges include intensified sea breezes introducing cooler marine air or unexpected low clouds, potentially capping peaks at 30–31°C; intraday observations and overnight model updates will clarify before evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 12, 2026, 12:48 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,498วันสิ้นสุด
May 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 12:48 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 95% probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching 32°C or higher today, backed by the Israel Meteorological Service forecast of coastal highs up to 32°C and AccuWeather models peaking near 34°C at Ben Gurion International Airport—the NOAA-monitored resolution site—under a persistent high-pressure ridge driving subsidence that warms air through compression and ensures clear skies for peak solar insolation. Global models like ECMWF and GFS show tight agreement around 30–32°C, extending a short heatwave after May 12's near-31°C readings and Health Ministry heat stress alerts, well above May's typical 27°C average. Realistic challenges include intensified sea breezes introducing cooler marine air or unexpected low clouds, potentially capping peaks at 30–31°C; intraday observations and overnight model updates will clarify before evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,498วันสิ้นสุด
May 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 12:48 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 95% probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching 32°C or higher today, backed by the Israel Meteorological Service forecast of coastal highs up to 32°C and AccuWeather models peaking near 34°C at Ben Gurion International Airport—the NOAA-monitored resolution site—under a persistent high-pressure ridge driving subsidence that warms air through compression and ensures clear skies for peak solar insolation. Global models like ECMWF and GFS show tight agreement around 30–32°C, extending a short heatwave after May 12's near-31°C readings and Health Ministry heat stress alerts, well above May's typical 27°C average. Realistic challenges include intensified sea breezes introducing cooler marine air or unexpected low clouds, potentially capping peaks at 30–31°C; intraday observations and overnight model updates will clarify before evening resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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