Recent model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show Tel Aviv under a stable subtropical ridge with light southerly flow off the Mediterranean, keeping maximum temperatures near 24–25 °C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because sea-surface temperatures have risen only modestly since mid-May and daytime mixing is limited by modest boundary-layer humidity around 60 %. The tight clustering between the 24 °C and 25 °C outcomes reflects this modest uncertainty window rather than any large-scale shift, with only isolated members briefly reaching 26 °C under slightly stronger insolation. No frontal passages or significant dust events are indicated through the 16 May verification window, supporting the market’s near-even split between the two leading bins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 16?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 16?
25°C 45%
24°C 40%
23°C 12.3%
26°C 12%
ใหม่
$13,164 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$13,164 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
12%
24°C
40%
25°C
45%
26°C
12%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
<1%
25°C 45%
24°C 40%
23°C 12.3%
26°C 12%
ใหม่
$13,164 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$13,164 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
18°C or below
$1,253 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$1,010 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$823 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$1,149 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$952 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$1,248 ปริมาณ
12%
24°C
$1,185 ปริมาณ
40%
25°C
$1,040 ปริมาณ
45%
26°C
$975 ปริมาณ
12%
27°C
$1,372 ปริมาณ
2%
28°C or higher
$2,155 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show Tel Aviv under a stable subtropical ridge with light southerly flow off the Mediterranean, keeping maximum temperatures near 24–25 °C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because sea-surface temperatures have risen only modestly since mid-May and daytime mixing is limited by modest boundary-layer humidity around 60 %. The tight clustering between the 24 °C and 25 °C outcomes reflects this modest uncertainty window rather than any large-scale shift, with only isolated members briefly reaching 26 °C under slightly stronger insolation. No frontal passages or significant dust events are indicated through the 16 May verification window, supporting the market’s near-even split between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 14, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,164วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show Tel Aviv under a stable subtropical ridge with light southerly flow off the Mediterranean, keeping maximum temperatures near 24–25 °C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because sea-surface temperatures have risen only modestly since mid-May and daytime mixing is limited by modest boundary-layer humidity around 60 %. The tight clustering between the 24 °C and 25 °C outcomes reflects this modest uncertainty window rather than any large-scale shift, with only isolated members briefly reaching 26 °C under slightly stronger insolation. No frontal passages or significant dust events are indicated through the 16 May verification window, supporting the market’s near-even split between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,164วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show Tel Aviv under a stable subtropical ridge with light southerly flow off the Mediterranean, keeping maximum temperatures near 24–25 °C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because sea-surface temperatures have risen only modestly since mid-May and daytime mixing is limited by modest boundary-layer humidity around 60 %. The tight clustering between the 24 °C and 25 °C outcomes reflects this modest uncertainty window rather than any large-scale shift, with only isolated members briefly reaching 26 °C under slightly stronger insolation. No frontal passages or significant dust events are indicated through the 16 May verification window, supporting the market’s near-even split between the two leading bins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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