Current forecast ensembles from global models such as ECMWF and GFS converge on an overnight low near 19°C for Shanghai on May 17, reflecting stable springtime conditions with light winds and minimal cold-air advection. This positions the 19°C outcome as the market leader at nearly 50% implied probability, closely followed by 18°C, while 20°C remains a plausible alternative if radiative cooling proves shallower than expected. Mid-May climatology at Shanghai Pudong supports a typical nocturnal range of 17–21°C centered on 19°C, consistent with historical median values and the absence of any significant trough or maritime surge in the short-range guidance. With resolution occurring in under 24 hours, the narrow model spread leaves limited scope for deviation beyond these central bins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shanghai on May 17?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on May 17?
19°C 65%
18°C 32%
20°C 16%
17°C 6.0%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 17, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
32%
19°C
65%
20°C
16%
21°C
3%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 65%
18°C 32%
20°C 16%
17°C 6.0%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 17, 2026
14°C or below
$547 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$328 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$93 ปริมาณ
1%
17°C
$91 ปริมาณ
6%
18°C
$70 ปริมาณ
32%
19°C
$138 ปริมาณ
65%
20°C
$81 ปริมาณ
16%
21°C
$221 ปริมาณ
3%
22°C
$98 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$99 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C or higher
$708 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast ensembles from global models such as ECMWF and GFS converge on an overnight low near 19°C for Shanghai on May 17, reflecting stable springtime conditions with light winds and minimal cold-air advection. This positions the 19°C outcome as the market leader at nearly 50% implied probability, closely followed by 18°C, while 20°C remains a plausible alternative if radiative cooling proves shallower than expected. Mid-May climatology at Shanghai Pudong supports a typical nocturnal range of 17–21°C centered on 19°C, consistent with historical median values and the absence of any significant trough or maritime surge in the short-range guidance. With resolution occurring in under 24 hours, the narrow model spread leaves limited scope for deviation beyond these central bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,472วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast ensembles from global models such as ECMWF and GFS converge on an overnight low near 19°C for Shanghai on May 17, reflecting stable springtime conditions with light winds and minimal cold-air advection. This positions the 19°C outcome as the market leader at nearly 50% implied probability, closely followed by 18°C, while 20°C remains a plausible alternative if radiative cooling proves shallower than expected. Mid-May climatology at Shanghai Pudong supports a typical nocturnal range of 17–21°C centered on 19°C, consistent with historical median values and the absence of any significant trough or maritime surge in the short-range guidance. With resolution occurring in under 24 hours, the narrow model spread leaves limited scope for deviation beyond these central bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,472วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDCurrent forecast ensembles from global models such as ECMWF and GFS converge on an overnight low near 19°C for Shanghai on May 17, reflecting stable springtime conditions with light winds and minimal cold-air advection. This positions the 19°C outcome as the market leader at nearly 50% implied probability, closely followed by 18°C, while 20°C remains a plausible alternative if radiative cooling proves shallower than expected. Mid-May climatology at Shanghai Pudong supports a typical nocturnal range of 17–21°C centered on 19°C, consistent with historical median values and the absence of any significant trough or maritime surge in the short-range guidance. With resolution occurring in under 24 hours, the narrow model spread leaves limited scope for deviation beyond these central bins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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