Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts project Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 16 at around 20°C under overcast conditions with light southeasterly winds below 12 km/h, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly at 31% for 19°C and 30.5% for 18°C, reflecting ensemble spread across GFS and ECMWF models where some members dip lower due to variable cloud opacity reducing radiative cooling. Mid-May climatology in Shanghai typically sees overnight lows of 17–21°C amid neutral ENSO patterns and urban heat island effects elevating station readings 1–2°C above rural areas, with no cold fronts forecast; the close contest hinges on precise pre-dawn cloud cover and boundary layer mixing. Traders await CMA updates and new 00Z/12Z model runs for resolution clarity from official Xujiahui observatory data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shanghai on May 16?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on May 16?
19°C 38%
18°C 31%
20°C 13%
17°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 16, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
12%
18°C
31%
19°C
34%
20°C
20%
21°C
5%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
19°C 38%
18°C 31%
20°C 13%
17°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 16, 2026
14°C or below
$2,870 ปริมาณ
1%
15°C
$2,444 ปริมาณ
1%
16°C
$732 ปริมาณ
3%
17°C
$1,033 ปริมาณ
12%
18°C
$103 ปริมาณ
31%
19°C
$57 ปริมาณ
34%
20°C
$32 ปริมาณ
20%
21°C
$20 ปริมาณ
5%
22°C
$248 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$233 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C or higher
$1,417 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts project Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 16 at around 20°C under overcast conditions with light southeasterly winds below 12 km/h, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly at 31% for 19°C and 30.5% for 18°C, reflecting ensemble spread across GFS and ECMWF models where some members dip lower due to variable cloud opacity reducing radiative cooling. Mid-May climatology in Shanghai typically sees overnight lows of 17–21°C amid neutral ENSO patterns and urban heat island effects elevating station readings 1–2°C above rural areas, with no cold fronts forecast; the close contest hinges on precise pre-dawn cloud cover and boundary layer mixing. Traders await CMA updates and new 00Z/12Z model runs for resolution clarity from official Xujiahui observatory data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,191วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts project Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 16 at around 20°C under overcast conditions with light southeasterly winds below 12 km/h, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly at 31% for 19°C and 30.5% for 18°C, reflecting ensemble spread across GFS and ECMWF models where some members dip lower due to variable cloud opacity reducing radiative cooling. Mid-May climatology in Shanghai typically sees overnight lows of 17–21°C amid neutral ENSO patterns and urban heat island effects elevating station readings 1–2°C above rural areas, with no cold fronts forecast; the close contest hinges on precise pre-dawn cloud cover and boundary layer mixing. Traders await CMA updates and new 00Z/12Z model runs for resolution clarity from official Xujiahui observatory data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,191วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDLatest China Meteorological Administration forecasts project Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 16 at around 20°C under overcast conditions with light southeasterly winds below 12 km/h, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly at 31% for 19°C and 30.5% for 18°C, reflecting ensemble spread across GFS and ECMWF models where some members dip lower due to variable cloud opacity reducing radiative cooling. Mid-May climatology in Shanghai typically sees overnight lows of 17–21°C amid neutral ENSO patterns and urban heat island effects elevating station readings 1–2°C above rural areas, with no cold fronts forecast; the close contest hinges on precise pre-dawn cloud cover and boundary layer mixing. Traders await CMA updates and new 00Z/12Z model runs for resolution clarity from official Xujiahui observatory data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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