Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the market's resolution station—confirm a daily maximum temperature of 21.5°C recorded at 18:10 local time on May 13, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on the 21°C outcome as evening cooling sets in under persistent cloud cover. This aligns with recent ECMWF and AEMET forecast updates anticipating capped highs of 20–22°C amid a lingering frontal system suppressing solar heating, cooler than May climatological averages near 23°C. With the update timestamped at 22:22 past peak diurnal warming (typically 16:00–19:00), realistic challenges would require a data revision uncovering an overlooked higher reading, though such adjustments are rare post-verification. Final daily RETAM summaries expected shortly will solidify resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on May 13?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 13?
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$121,512 ปริมาณ
$121,512 ปริมาณ
May 13, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$121,512 ปริมาณ
$121,512 ปริมาณ
May 13, 2026
16°C or below
$8,057 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$8,384 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$21,944 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$9,969 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$8,915 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$16,498 ปริมาณ
Yes
22°C
$15,141 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$12,693 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$8,186 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$6,195 ปริมาณ
No
26°C or higher
$5,529 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the market's resolution station—confirm a daily maximum temperature of 21.5°C recorded at 18:10 local time on May 13, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on the 21°C outcome as evening cooling sets in under persistent cloud cover. This aligns with recent ECMWF and AEMET forecast updates anticipating capped highs of 20–22°C amid a lingering frontal system suppressing solar heating, cooler than May climatological averages near 23°C. With the update timestamped at 22:22 past peak diurnal warming (typically 16:00–19:00), realistic challenges would require a data revision uncovering an overlooked higher reading, though such adjustments are rare post-verification. Final daily RETAM summaries expected shortly will solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 11, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$121,512วันสิ้นสุด
May 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 11, 2026, 12:18 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the market's resolution station—confirm a daily maximum temperature of 21.5°C recorded at 18:10 local time on May 13, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on the 21°C outcome as evening cooling sets in under persistent cloud cover. This aligns with recent ECMWF and AEMET forecast updates anticipating capped highs of 20–22°C amid a lingering frontal system suppressing solar heating, cooler than May climatological averages near 23°C. With the update timestamped at 22:22 past peak diurnal warming (typically 16:00–19:00), realistic challenges would require a data revision uncovering an overlooked higher reading, though such adjustments are rare post-verification. Final daily RETAM summaries expected shortly will solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$121,512วันสิ้นสุด
May 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 11, 2026, 12:18 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the market's resolution station—confirm a daily maximum temperature of 21.5°C recorded at 18:10 local time on May 13, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on the 21°C outcome as evening cooling sets in under persistent cloud cover. This aligns with recent ECMWF and AEMET forecast updates anticipating capped highs of 20–22°C amid a lingering frontal system suppressing solar heating, cooler than May climatological averages near 23°C. With the update timestamped at 22:22 past peak diurnal warming (typically 16:00–19:00), realistic challenges would require a data revision uncovering an overlooked higher reading, though such adjustments are rare post-verification. Final daily RETAM summaries expected shortly will solidify resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย