Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show a stable high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula holding clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow over Madrid through May 17, which caps daytime heating near the seasonal average. This pattern positions 22°C as the most probable maximum, with the market-implied distribution clustered tightly between 21–23°C. Historical May climatology for the city supports a central tendency around 22–24°C under similar synoptic setups, while any late-day convective development or slight ridge weakening remains the main variable that could nudge readings higher or keep them near 21°C. The next official AEMET update and final model runs will provide the last refinements before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on May 17?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 17?
22°C 42%
21°C 27%
23°C 24%
24°C 7%
ใหม่
$10,903 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,903 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
27%
22°C
42%
23°C
24%
24°C
7%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 42%
21°C 27%
23°C 24%
24°C 7%
ใหม่
$10,903 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,903 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
17°C or below
$1,563 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$941 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$1,123 ปริมาณ
2%
20°C
$775 ปริมาณ
3%
21°C
$1,743 ปริมาณ
27%
22°C
$1,349 ปริมาณ
42%
23°C
$1,016 ปริมาณ
24%
24°C
$520 ปริมาณ
7%
25°C
$491 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$504 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C or higher
$890 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show a stable high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula holding clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow over Madrid through May 17, which caps daytime heating near the seasonal average. This pattern positions 22°C as the most probable maximum, with the market-implied distribution clustered tightly between 21–23°C. Historical May climatology for the city supports a central tendency around 22–24°C under similar synoptic setups, while any late-day convective development or slight ridge weakening remains the main variable that could nudge readings higher or keep them near 21°C. The next official AEMET update and final model runs will provide the last refinements before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,903วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show a stable high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula holding clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow over Madrid through May 17, which caps daytime heating near the seasonal average. This pattern positions 22°C as the most probable maximum, with the market-implied distribution clustered tightly between 21–23°C. Historical May climatology for the city supports a central tendency around 22–24°C under similar synoptic setups, while any late-day convective development or slight ridge weakening remains the main variable that could nudge readings higher or keep them near 21°C. The next official AEMET update and final model runs will provide the last refinements before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,903วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDCurrent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show a stable high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula holding clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow over Madrid through May 17, which caps daytime heating near the seasonal average. This pattern positions 22°C as the most probable maximum, with the market-implied distribution clustered tightly between 21–23°C. Historical May climatology for the city supports a central tendency around 22–24°C under similar synoptic setups, while any late-day convective development or slight ridge weakening remains the main variable that could nudge readings higher or keep them near 21°C. The next official AEMET update and final model runs will provide the last refinements before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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