PAGASA observational data from the Science Garden station in Quezon City—the official benchmark for Manila temperatures—recorded 36.2°C at 3 p.m. on May 15, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 98.7% implied probability for a 36°C daily high amid an intense dry-season heatwave. Recent days saw peaks of 36.7°C with heat indices exceeding 42°C, surpassing PAGASA's 35°C forecast under partly cloudy skies and 30% isolated rain chance, reflecting model underestimations during easterly wind regimes suppressing cloud cover. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon thunderstorms cooling surface temps below 36°C or measurement revisions, though current trajectories and climatological May averages around 34°C favor stability as monitoring continues through evening.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on May 15?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 15?
36°C 99.6%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
39°C or higher <1%
$25,509 ปริมาณ
$25,509 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
36°C
100%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
36°C 99.6%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
39°C or higher <1%
$25,509 ปริมาณ
$25,509 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
36°C
$3,900 ปริมาณ
100%
37°C
$3,081 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C
$2,640 ปริมาณ
<1%
39°C or higher
$2,964 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA observational data from the Science Garden station in Quezon City—the official benchmark for Manila temperatures—recorded 36.2°C at 3 p.m. on May 15, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 98.7% implied probability for a 36°C daily high amid an intense dry-season heatwave. Recent days saw peaks of 36.7°C with heat indices exceeding 42°C, surpassing PAGASA's 35°C forecast under partly cloudy skies and 30% isolated rain chance, reflecting model underestimations during easterly wind regimes suppressing cloud cover. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon thunderstorms cooling surface temps below 36°C or measurement revisions, though current trajectories and climatological May averages around 34°C favor stability as monitoring continues through evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,509วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:59 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA observational data from the Science Garden station in Quezon City—the official benchmark for Manila temperatures—recorded 36.2°C at 3 p.m. on May 15, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 98.7% implied probability for a 36°C daily high amid an intense dry-season heatwave. Recent days saw peaks of 36.7°C with heat indices exceeding 42°C, surpassing PAGASA's 35°C forecast under partly cloudy skies and 30% isolated rain chance, reflecting model underestimations during easterly wind regimes suppressing cloud cover. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon thunderstorms cooling surface temps below 36°C or measurement revisions, though current trajectories and climatological May averages around 34°C favor stability as monitoring continues through evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,509วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:59 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA observational data from the Science Garden station in Quezon City—the official benchmark for Manila temperatures—recorded 36.2°C at 3 p.m. on May 15, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 98.7% implied probability for a 36°C daily high amid an intense dry-season heatwave. Recent days saw peaks of 36.7°C with heat indices exceeding 42°C, surpassing PAGASA's 35°C forecast under partly cloudy skies and 30% isolated rain chance, reflecting model underestimations during easterly wind regimes suppressing cloud cover. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon thunderstorms cooling surface temps below 36°C or measurement revisions, though current trajectories and climatological May averages around 34°C favor stability as monitoring continues through evening.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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