Persistent low solar activity has anchored the 86% implied probability for zero major space weather events during May 10–16. NOAA’s Space Weather Prediction Center recorded only one notable M5.8-class solar flare from active region AR4436 on May 10, triggering a moderate R2 radio blackout without escalating to R3+ conditions. Associated coronal mass ejection modeling indicated at most a glancing blow around May 13, producing at most G1-level geomagnetic activity amid calm solar wind speeds near 400 km/s and subdued Kp indices. No X-class flares, G3+ storms, or S3+ radiation events materialized, keeping conditions well below historical solar-maximum benchmarks for this phase of the cycle. Traders continue monitoring final GOES X-ray and SWPC alerts through the weekend close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow many major Space Weather events this week? (May 10 - May 16)
How many major Space Weather events this week? (May 10 - May 16)
0 94%
3 6.0%
1 4.5%
4 2.8%
$983 ปริมาณ
$983 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
0
86%
1
4%
2
2%
3
16%
4
3%
5
<1%
6+
2%
0 94%
3 6.0%
1 4.5%
4 2.8%
$983 ปริมาณ
$983 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
0
$625 ปริมาณ
86%
1
$53 ปริมาณ
4%
2
$61 ปริมาณ
2%
3
$80 ปริมาณ
16%
4
$37 ปริมาณ
3%
5
$56 ปริมาณ
<1%
6+
$72 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between May 10, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 16, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Persistent low solar activity has anchored the 86% implied probability for zero major space weather events during May 10–16. NOAA’s Space Weather Prediction Center recorded only one notable M5.8-class solar flare from active region AR4436 on May 10, triggering a moderate R2 radio blackout without escalating to R3+ conditions. Associated coronal mass ejection modeling indicated at most a glancing blow around May 13, producing at most G1-level geomagnetic activity amid calm solar wind speeds near 400 km/s and subdued Kp indices. No X-class flares, G3+ storms, or S3+ radiation events materialized, keeping conditions well below historical solar-maximum benchmarks for this phase of the cycle. Traders continue monitoring final GOES X-ray and SWPC alerts through the weekend close.
This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between May 10, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 16, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 9, 2026, 10:49 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$983วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 9, 2026, 10:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between May 10, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 16, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Persistent low solar activity has anchored the 86% implied probability for zero major space weather events during May 10–16. NOAA’s Space Weather Prediction Center recorded only one notable M5.8-class solar flare from active region AR4436 on May 10, triggering a moderate R2 radio blackout without escalating to R3+ conditions. Associated coronal mass ejection modeling indicated at most a glancing blow around May 13, producing at most G1-level geomagnetic activity amid calm solar wind speeds near 400 km/s and subdued Kp indices. No X-class flares, G3+ storms, or S3+ radiation events materialized, keeping conditions well below historical solar-maximum benchmarks for this phase of the cycle. Traders continue monitoring final GOES X-ray and SWPC alerts through the weekend close.
This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between May 10, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 16, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$983วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 9, 2026, 10:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent low solar activity has anchored the 86% implied probability for zero major space weather events during May 10–16. NOAA’s Space Weather Prediction Center recorded only one notable M5.8-class solar flare from active region AR4436 on May 10, triggering a moderate R2 radio blackout without escalating to R3+ conditions. Associated coronal mass ejection modeling indicated at most a glancing blow around May 13, producing at most G1-level geomagnetic activity amid calm solar wind speeds near 400 km/s and subdued Kp indices. No X-class flares, G3+ storms, or S3+ radiation events materialized, keeping conditions well below historical solar-maximum benchmarks for this phase of the cycle. Traders continue monitoring final GOES X-ray and SWPC alerts through the weekend close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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