Trader consensus reflects a 75.8% implied probability for no reclassification of Pluto as a planet by June 30, anchored by the International Astronomical Union’s (IAU) enduring 2006 definition requiring a body to orbit the Sun, achieve hydrostatic equilibrium, and clear its orbital neighborhood—criteria Pluto fails due to its overlap with Kuiper Belt objects. Recent buzz stems from NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman’s April 30 congressional testimony advocating for Pluto’s reinstatement, reigniting public debate, but the IAU—not NASA—holds sole authority, with no general assembly or vote scheduled before the deadline. Scientific discourse questions the definition’s rigidity, yet procedural hurdles and historical precedent maintain skepticism among traders wagering real capital.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?
$21,827 ปริมาณ
$21,827 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
$21,827 ปริมาณ
$21,827 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
Pluto is currently classified as a dwarf planet by the International Astronomical Union. NASA administrator Jared Isaacman has urged Donald Trump to declare Pluto a planet again.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pluto is declared a planet by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying declaration may be made by the International Astronomical Union or by Donald Trump, but must explicitly state that Pluto's status is that of a planet. Statements reinforcing Pluto's dwarf planet status or statements indicating that its classification may be reconsidered will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Statements indicating intent to reclassify Pluto as a planet will count towards this market's resolution only if they are made without qualifiers (e.g., "Pluto will be reclassified as a planet if it sufficiently clears its orbit" would not count). Executive orders declaring Pluto's status as a planet will qualify.
This market's resolution source will be statements from the International Astronomical Union, Donald Trump, or any official White House legal or social media representative will qualify.Trader consensus reflects a 75.8% implied probability for no reclassification of Pluto as a planet by June 30, anchored by the International Astronomical Union’s (IAU) enduring 2006 definition requiring a body to orbit the Sun, achieve hydrostatic equilibrium, and clear its orbital neighborhood—criteria Pluto fails due to its overlap with Kuiper Belt objects. Recent buzz stems from NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman’s April 30 congressional testimony advocating for Pluto’s reinstatement, reigniting public debate, but the IAU—not NASA—holds sole authority, with no general assembly or vote scheduled before the deadline. Scientific discourse questions the definition’s rigidity, yet procedural hurdles and historical precedent maintain skepticism among traders wagering real capital.
Pluto is currently classified as a dwarf planet by the International Astronomical Union. NASA administrator Jared Isaacman has urged Donald Trump to declare Pluto a planet again.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pluto is declared a planet by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying declaration may be made by the International Astronomical Union or by Donald Trump, but must explicitly state that Pluto's status is that of a planet. Statements reinforcing Pluto's dwarf planet status or statements indicating that its classification may be reconsidered will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Statements indicating intent to reclassify Pluto as a planet will count towards this market's resolution only if they are made without qualifiers (e.g., "Pluto will be reclassified as a planet if it sufficiently clears its orbit" would not count). Executive orders declaring Pluto's status as a planet will qualify.
This market's resolution source will be statements from the International Astronomical Union, Donald Trump, or any official White House legal or social media representative will qualify.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pluto is declared a planet by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying declaration may be made by the International Astronomical Union or by Donald Trump, but must explicitly state that Pluto's status is that of a planet. Statements reinforcing Pluto's dwarf planet status or statements indicating that its classification may be reconsidered will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Statements indicating intent to reclassify Pluto as a planet will count towards this market's resolution only if they are made without qualifiers (e.g., "Pluto will be reclassified as a planet if it sufficiently clears its orbit" would not count). Executive orders declaring Pluto's status as a planet will qualify.
This market's resolution source will be statements from the International Astronomical Union, Donald Trump, or any official White House legal or social media representative will qualify.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 9, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,827วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 9, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Pluto is currently classified as a dwarf planet by the International Astronomical Union. NASA administrator Jared Isaacman has urged Donald Trump to declare Pluto a planet again.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pluto is declared a planet by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying declaration may be made by the International Astronomical Union or by Donald Trump, but must explicitly state that Pluto's status is that of a planet. Statements reinforcing Pluto's dwarf planet status or statements indicating that its classification may be reconsidered will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Statements indicating intent to reclassify Pluto as a planet will count towards this market's resolution only if they are made without qualifiers (e.g., "Pluto will be reclassified as a planet if it sufficiently clears its orbit" would not count). Executive orders declaring Pluto's status as a planet will qualify.
This market's resolution source will be statements from the International Astronomical Union, Donald Trump, or any official White House legal or social media representative will qualify.Trader consensus reflects a 75.8% implied probability for no reclassification of Pluto as a planet by June 30, anchored by the International Astronomical Union’s (IAU) enduring 2006 definition requiring a body to orbit the Sun, achieve hydrostatic equilibrium, and clear its orbital neighborhood—criteria Pluto fails due to its overlap with Kuiper Belt objects. Recent buzz stems from NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman’s April 30 congressional testimony advocating for Pluto’s reinstatement, reigniting public debate, but the IAU—not NASA—holds sole authority, with no general assembly or vote scheduled before the deadline. Scientific discourse questions the definition’s rigidity, yet procedural hurdles and historical precedent maintain skepticism among traders wagering real capital.
Pluto is currently classified as a dwarf planet by the International Astronomical Union. NASA administrator Jared Isaacman has urged Donald Trump to declare Pluto a planet again.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pluto is declared a planet by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying declaration may be made by the International Astronomical Union or by Donald Trump, but must explicitly state that Pluto's status is that of a planet. Statements reinforcing Pluto's dwarf planet status or statements indicating that its classification may be reconsidered will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Statements indicating intent to reclassify Pluto as a planet will count towards this market's resolution only if they are made without qualifiers (e.g., "Pluto will be reclassified as a planet if it sufficiently clears its orbit" would not count). Executive orders declaring Pluto's status as a planet will qualify.
This market's resolution source will be statements from the International Astronomical Union, Donald Trump, or any official White House legal or social media representative will qualify.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pluto is declared a planet by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying declaration may be made by the International Astronomical Union or by Donald Trump, but must explicitly state that Pluto's status is that of a planet. Statements reinforcing Pluto's dwarf planet status or statements indicating that its classification may be reconsidered will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Statements indicating intent to reclassify Pluto as a planet will count towards this market's resolution only if they are made without qualifiers (e.g., "Pluto will be reclassified as a planet if it sufficiently clears its orbit" would not count). Executive orders declaring Pluto's status as a planet will qualify.
This market's resolution source will be statements from the International Astronomical Union, Donald Trump, or any official White House legal or social media representative will qualify.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,827วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 9, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects a 75.8% implied probability for no reclassification of Pluto as a planet by June 30, anchored by the International Astronomical Union’s (IAU) enduring 2006 definition requiring a body to orbit the Sun, achieve hydrostatic equilibrium, and clear its orbital neighborhood—criteria Pluto fails due to its overlap with Kuiper Belt objects. Recent buzz stems from NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman’s April 30 congressional testimony advocating for Pluto’s reinstatement, reigniting public debate, but the IAU—not NASA—holds sole authority, with no general assembly or vote scheduled before the deadline. Scientific discourse questions the definition’s rigidity, yet procedural hurdles and historical precedent maintain skepticism among traders wagering real capital.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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