Recent Falcon 9 missions and a dense late-May manifest have driven trader consensus toward 12–13 total SpaceX launches for the month. Multiple Starlink deployments, a Globalstar constellation mission, and the CRS-34 resupply flight have already occurred from Cape Canaveral and Vandenberg, while the Starship Flight 12 test window opens around May 19. Historical cadence data show SpaceX averaging over 10 orbital attempts monthly in 2026, with rapid booster turnaround supporting back-to-back days when range and weather conditions align. Remaining uncertainty centers on potential scrubs from upper-level winds, range conflicts, or Starship-specific technical holds that could shift one or two attempts into June.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว12 49%
11 35%
≤8 25.4%
9 15%
≤8
25%
9
15%
10
12%
11
35%
12
49%
13
50%
14 or more
6%
12 49%
11 35%
≤8 25.4%
9 15%
≤8
25%
9
15%
10
12%
11
35%
12
49%
13
50%
14 or more
6%
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 27, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Falcon 9 missions and a dense late-May manifest have driven trader consensus toward 12–13 total SpaceX launches for the month. Multiple Starlink deployments, a Globalstar constellation mission, and the CRS-34 resupply flight have already occurred from Cape Canaveral and Vandenberg, while the Starship Flight 12 test window opens around May 19. Historical cadence data show SpaceX averaging over 10 orbital attempts monthly in 2026, with rapid booster turnaround supporting back-to-back days when range and weather conditions align. Remaining uncertainty centers on potential scrubs from upper-level winds, range conflicts, or Starship-specific technical holds that could shift one or two attempts into June.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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