Figure's F.03 humanoid robots have surpassed 30 hours of continuous autonomous package sorting in an official livestream endurance test without triggering failure—defined as two consecutive minutes without advancing the package counter—driving trader consensus toward longer outcomes with 200h+ leading at 46.5% implied probability. This reflects robust performance from the fault-tolerant Vulcan controller, which enables recovery from up to three actuator failures via self-diagnostics and multi-robot failover, alongside Helix-02 onboard neural network inference at human-equivalent speeds. April's 24x production ramp to one robot per hour, informed by 1,250+ real-world runtime hours and over 80 stress tests, has elevated mean time between failures (MTBF) through fleet-scale optimizations. Yet fragmented odds highlight uncertainty from potential gripper wear, battery swap disruptions every 3-4 hours, or perception glitches in repetitive tasks, with the livestream's progression key ahead of May 21 resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว200h+ 55%
50-100h 29%
100-200h 22%
8-50h <1%
$31,745 ปริมาณ
$31,745 ปริมาณ
8-50h
<1%
50-100h
19%
100-200h
18%
200h+
47%
200h+ 55%
50-100h 29%
100-200h 22%
8-50h <1%
$31,745 ปริมาณ
$31,745 ปริมาณ
8-50h
<1%
50-100h
19%
100-200h
18%
200h+
47%
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Figure's F.03 humanoid robots have surpassed 30 hours of continuous autonomous package sorting in an official livestream endurance test without triggering failure—defined as two consecutive minutes without advancing the package counter—driving trader consensus toward longer outcomes with 200h+ leading at 46.5% implied probability. This reflects robust performance from the fault-tolerant Vulcan controller, which enables recovery from up to three actuator failures via self-diagnostics and multi-robot failover, alongside Helix-02 onboard neural network inference at human-equivalent speeds. April's 24x production ramp to one robot per hour, informed by 1,250+ real-world runtime hours and over 80 stress tests, has elevated mean time between failures (MTBF) through fleet-scale optimizations. Yet fragmented odds highlight uncertainty from potential gripper wear, battery swap disruptions every 3-4 hours, or perception glitches in repetitive tasks, with the livestream's progression key ahead of May 21 resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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